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Severe Weather Threat - January 8th-9th, 2024
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe weather
If the next tornado watch isn't until April there may be a shot
KevinH
Member
One of the updated graphics going up on NWS Tallahassee shortly:
KevinH
Member
They might need a WW to cover Baton Rouge sooner rather than later.
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Don't discount it. Especially for the mobile area.
The HRRR is still playing catch-up with instability when it initializes lol. Don't know if that'll play into what happens further east. But good grief HRRR , get your stuff together lol.
tornado examiner
Member
No moderate….
akt1985
Member
As far as tonight’s National Championship Game in Houston, at least one media outlet in Seattle is giving Huskies fans in Houston a breakdown on the upcoming severe weather risk tonight. According to this article, both the states of Washington and Oregon have never been under a Tornado Watch. I really hope emergency managers are giving factual information to those from Seattle attending the game what to do in a tornado warning because many don’t have experience with severe weather.
www.fox13seattle.com
Severe weather guide for Washington Huskies fans visiting Houston for NCAA National Championship game
Forecasts show a potentially dangerous severe weather threat for the Houston area on Monday, with a risk for supercell thunderstorms capable of producing strong tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning, and large hail.
KevinH
Member
Text from D1 update (No MOD now, but possible with next update):
..20Z UPDATE
THE PRIMARY CHANGES TO THE OUTLOOK WERE TO TRIM PROBABILITIES FROM THE NORTHWEST TO REFLECT THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND EXPAND PROBABILITIES SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL TX, WHERE RECENT STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
OTHERWISE, THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK REASONING REMAINS VALID. PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TX ARE BEING MONITORED FOR SUPERCELL MATURATION, WITH POTENTIAL FOR ALL SEVERE HAZARDS. SEE MCD 17 AND TORNADO WATCH 1 FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING THE SHORT-TERM THREATS IN THIS AREA.
AN EXTENSIVE QLCS IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST, WITH RECENT HRRR RUNS SUGGESTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR PREFRONTAL SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. ANY MATURE PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS COULD POSE A STRONG TORNADO THREAT LATE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LINE-EMBEDDED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE PRIMARY QLCS. A MODERATE RISK UPGRADE REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH THE 01Z UPDATE, DEPENDING ON OBSERVATIONAL AND SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE TRENDS REGARDING NORTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE WARM FRONT AND POTENTIAL FOR MATURE
PREFRONTAL SUPERCELLS OVERNIGHT.
..20Z UPDATE
THE PRIMARY CHANGES TO THE OUTLOOK WERE TO TRIM PROBABILITIES FROM THE NORTHWEST TO REFLECT THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND EXPAND PROBABILITIES SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL TX, WHERE RECENT STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
OTHERWISE, THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK REASONING REMAINS VALID. PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TX ARE BEING MONITORED FOR SUPERCELL MATURATION, WITH POTENTIAL FOR ALL SEVERE HAZARDS. SEE MCD 17 AND TORNADO WATCH 1 FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING THE SHORT-TERM THREATS IN THIS AREA.
AN EXTENSIVE QLCS IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST, WITH RECENT HRRR RUNS SUGGESTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR PREFRONTAL SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. ANY MATURE PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS COULD POSE A STRONG TORNADO THREAT LATE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LINE-EMBEDDED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE PRIMARY QLCS. A MODERATE RISK UPGRADE REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH THE 01Z UPDATE, DEPENDING ON OBSERVATIONAL AND SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE TRENDS REGARDING NORTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE WARM FRONT AND POTENTIAL FOR MATURE
PREFRONTAL SUPERCELLS OVERNIGHT.
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KevinH
Member
KevinH
Member
And so it begins
Destin Native
Member
- Messages
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- Location
- Carrabelle, FL and Keaton Beach, FL
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Hey Everyone! Just checking in. It’s windy and cool down here in Carrabelle. I received this from Franklin County (FL) EMA
Severe Weather Expected
Severe weather is expected over the next 36 hours. The first wave will impact Franklin County at about 12:00 AM to 03:00 AM on the morning of Tuesday, January 9th. The second, more significant wave will arrive at about 09:00 AM and last until the midafternoon. Hazards include the potential for tornadoes, flooding, and winds of 70-80 mph.
Due to the saturation of the ground, it will be easier for trees to fall in the wind. If you come across a fallen tree or tree limb, DO NOT touch it. It may hide an active power line and can pose an electrocution hazard.
As of the time of this publication, Franklin County is under a Wind Advisory until 05:00 PM on January 9, 2024.
Due to these conditions, Franklin County Schools, Project Impact, the NEST in Eastpoint and Carrabelle, Property Appraiser's office, Tax Collector's office, and county government offices will be closed tomorrow, January 9, 2024.
If you live in an area that is prone to coastal and/or riverine flooding, please secure your belongings and be ready to move to higher ground.
As a result of the elevated wind speeds, the possibility exists for bridges throughout Franklin County to be closed to all traffic. This will occur if the wind achieves a sustained speed of 45mph. Please keep this in mind and monitor wind conditions throughout the day.
If you must travel, use extreme caution as conditions can change very quickly.
Please report any power outages to Duke Energy by calling (850) 769-3766 or visiting their website.
Pay close attention to Beach Flags. If Red Flags are flying, stay out of the water.
Make sure to monitor the local news, WOYS, and Franklin County Emergency Management Facebook page for updates. Sign up for AlertFranklin for real time updates regarding weather conditions and road closures.
Reply with YES to confirm receipt or https://evb.gg/0cOXFDj1
Severe Weather Expected
Severe weather is expected over the next 36 hours. The first wave will impact Franklin County at about 12:00 AM to 03:00 AM on the morning of Tuesday, January 9th. The second, more significant wave will arrive at about 09:00 AM and last until the midafternoon. Hazards include the potential for tornadoes, flooding, and winds of 70-80 mph.
Due to the saturation of the ground, it will be easier for trees to fall in the wind. If you come across a fallen tree or tree limb, DO NOT touch it. It may hide an active power line and can pose an electrocution hazard.
As of the time of this publication, Franklin County is under a Wind Advisory until 05:00 PM on January 9, 2024.
Due to these conditions, Franklin County Schools, Project Impact, the NEST in Eastpoint and Carrabelle, Property Appraiser's office, Tax Collector's office, and county government offices will be closed tomorrow, January 9, 2024.
If you live in an area that is prone to coastal and/or riverine flooding, please secure your belongings and be ready to move to higher ground.
As a result of the elevated wind speeds, the possibility exists for bridges throughout Franklin County to be closed to all traffic. This will occur if the wind achieves a sustained speed of 45mph. Please keep this in mind and monitor wind conditions throughout the day.
If you must travel, use extreme caution as conditions can change very quickly.
Please report any power outages to Duke Energy by calling (850) 769-3766 or visiting their website.
Pay close attention to Beach Flags. If Red Flags are flying, stay out of the water.
Make sure to monitor the local news, WOYS, and Franklin County Emergency Management Facebook page for updates. Sign up for AlertFranklin for real time updates regarding weather conditions and road closures.
Reply with YES to confirm receipt or https://evb.gg/0cOXFDj1
TornadoFan
Member
Tornado continues to be observed with the storm in Texas.
TornadoFan
Member
The storm to the west of the TOR warned storm is now warned itself.
