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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - December 8th-10th, 2023

I'm not seeing any of the Tornado Warnings on RadarScope with the Tornado Emergency wording on my end.
 
For the Georgia folks, the FFC's AFD.
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 143 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023

Primary forecast concerns in the short term period are likelihood
and timing of strong/severe storms and heavy rain tonight and
potential for very light snow accumulations at elevations above
3000ft in NE GA Sunday evening.

Early batch of scattered SHRA associated with warm advection
moved off this morning, while mid 60s dewpoints advecting north
into NW AL with clearing skies this afternoon leading to favorable
environment for a few severe storms and tornadoes. Line of
convection expected to approach NW GA around midnight but could
see small, fast-moving supercells ahead of the line as supported
by a few CAMs including recent HRRR runs. SBCAPE as high 1000 J/kg
as convection moves into the state but wanes overnight to no more
than 500 J/kg by 12Z, mostly in a thin "ribbon" ahead of the
convective line with greater values towards westcentral GA and SE
AL. 0-1km SRH and 0-3km line-normal shear should be sufficient for
a few mesovortices and brief/weak tornadoes within QLCS, which is
also supported by a few CAMs in 2-5km Updraft Helicity fields,
even as late as 10-12Z. After 12Z, low level shear decreases and
isolated tornado and wind threat decreases with it. Could see very
brief, strong/severe storm with damaging winds along the line
before they move out of the CWA in the mid afternoon.
Click to expand...
 
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