Severe Weather Threat 5/25-5/26, 2024

[jiharris0220]

2024 is going to be almost impossible to be beat in terms of tornado footage for a while.

 

[Maxis_s]

If there's one slight brightside, the supercells in S MO are moving towards forested and more rural areas of MO for at least the immediate future.

And they seem to be LP so we're getting gorgeous shots of them.

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm just west of the SGF radar getting that look.

 

[Maxis_s]

Houston, MO storm is cycling.

 

[TornadoFan]

Still on the ground.

 

[Clancy]

Man, the MO bootheel and N AR regions sure love being a huge radar hole and tornado magnet at the same time.

 

[jiharris0220]

Holy

 

[MoonBaby]

Weird tornado warning polygon if it hasn’t already been posted

 

[Maxis_s]

The Missouri tornado has been on the ground for likely at least 25 minutes.

 

[NorthBamaWX]

 

[NorthBamaWX]

 

[Muwx]

Holy
View attachment 28111

What storm is this

 

[NorthBamaWX]

 

[Maxis_s]

What storm is this

Near Houston, MO. I believe it has lifted now.

 

[TornadoFan]

The way that tornado kept touching and lifting reminded me of the hail scene from Twister.

 

[jiharris0220]

Looks like quite the violent motion there, despite the still image.

 

[TornadoFan]

Hunter Hurley has a tornado

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Clancy]

SVA likely soon for IL/IN.

Mesoscale Discussion 0989
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0538 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Areas affected...central Illinois into west-central Indiana.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 262238Z - 262345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The risk for damaging gusts and hail is increasing with
new storms north of St Louis. A new WW may be needed.

DISCUSSION...As of 2235 UTC, regional radar analysis showed a
cluster of strong to severe storms (including a few supercells) has
evolved along a cold front and remnant outflow boundary over eastern
MO and west-central IL. Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s
F as the air mass has recovered in the wake of an expansive squall
line earlier today. Steep mid-level lapse rates and surface
dewpoints in the 60s to 70s F are supporting ~1000-1500 J/kg of
MLCAPE. Favorable buoyancy and increasing lift ahead of the cold
front/consolidating outflow should continue to support robust
updrafts. 40-50 kt of vertical shear will also allow for storm
organization into one or more clusters or bowing segments. Given the
favorable parameter space and the potential for organized storms,
the risk for damaging wind gusts and hail appears to be increasing.
A new weather watch is likely.

..Lyons/Smith.. 05/26/2024

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 989

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[Wind Driven Coconut]

Find the hook, St. Louis suburb edition…