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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

Assuming the 16z special from Jackson has been posted (I can't keep up with the fast posting here) - it's quite something, cap is pretty much gone with some steep lapse rates and a very saturated profile; probably explains why so many showers have been able to flood the warm sector
 

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Had to step away for a bit, but I presume the 17z HRRR has been discussed? It shows the storms being a lot more discrete than the previous HRRR run that had people thinking the event ceiling might be a lot lower.

Obviously, we can see what is happening on radar in realtime, however, the 17z definitely shows Alabama getting a good batch of discrete supercells.
 
MMWX (FKA TornadoFan17) said:
Is Jackson radar struggling for y'all? Says my most recent scan was 20 minutes ago.
Click to expand...
I have the recent scans, thankfully. Have you tried closing down whatever program you're using and/or using a different program (assuming you can)? That could be a potential factor.
 
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Equus said:
Assuming the 16z special from Jackson has been posted (I can't keep up with the fast posting here) - it's quite something, cap is pretty much gone with some steep lapse rates and a very saturated profile; probably explains why so many showers have been able to flood the warm sector
Click to expand...
That moisture depth is unreal!
 
1742063005745.png

Bassfield tornado hopefully entering a lower STP environment. Still extremely concerned about Jackson. Praying for no discrete super cells over that metro area. Considering how bad today is starting, The worst case scenario is a direct hit by a sigtor on a high HUD area.
 
Tennie said:
I have the recent scans, thankfully. Have you tried closing down whatever program you/re using and/or using a different program (assuming you can)? That could be a potential factor.
Click to expand...
Not getting anything with both RadarScope (mobile) and GR3 (windows). I have an AllisonHouse sub too.
 
Equus said:
Assuming the 16z special from Jackson has been posted (I can't keep up with the fast posting here) - it's quite something, cap is pretty much gone with some steep lapse rates and a very saturated profile; probably explains why so many showers have been able to flood the warm sector
Click to expand...
Wow. Still a tad bit of a warm nose. I’m honestly not sure what has caused so much crapvection to go up considering the EML and slight forcing from the broad based trough. The HRRR was signaling it could over convert the warm sector, but that was supercells and not garden variety storms.
 
Evan said:
Had to step away for a bit, but I presume the 17z HRRR has been discussed? It shows the storms being a lot more discrete than the previous HRRR run that had people thinking the event ceiling might be a lot lower.

Obviously, we can see what is happening on radar in realtime, however, the 17z definitely shows Alabama getting a good batch of discrete supercells.
Click to expand...
I think it will probably be later as the temperatures cool off a little bit and the dewpoints start to rise.
 
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