tornado examiner
Member
That’s a bad sign. Like i said, cold front smash is not likely. It’s still stationary for now.
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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16
- Thread starter Bulkshear
- Start date
jiharris0220
Member
It’s strong enough to keep the crap out, but weak and shallow enough to only let through strong updrafts.
Yeah definetly, kind of expected after yesterday’s soundings as well. I’m sure as WAA continues, that moist layer will rise too.
wx_guy
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So I fell asleep hard last night because I plan to be awake tonight for my friends and family in eastern AL. Can anyone give me a cliff notes version of what transpired last night?
Hell.
Multiple intense tornadoes in Missouri and Arkansas, and a monster in Mississippi.
I didn't get to see the Mississippi one i fell asleep for that one, my friend told me about it, is there any velocity screenshots for that one?
That's what I am thinking...not good.
tornado examiner
Member
Basically, 6 or 7 different semi training but super discrete supercells drop a multitude of long track strong tornadoes for 6 hours straight.
UpperLevelLOL
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So what is the thinking here of the last few HRRR runs being a bit more linear? A trend or a bad run?
tornado examiner
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Irrelevant almost ignorable run, seems unlikely as the cold front hasn’t moved yet
wx_guy
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The HRRR and any model is of mostly little use at this point, because most of the storms will be dictated based on tiny mesoscale and boundary interactions today that the models can't see. It's a nowcast time.
hurricaneguy
Member
Morning! Short rest is over. Trying to catch up. Any indication so far if a 45 tornado will be added later?
tornado examiner
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Also the Louisiana storm may have a tornado down. Cc drop
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Bulkshear
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Well I am trying to explain to people here in TN that we are under a threat and the response I am getting is the threat is south of us in AL and it will rain on and off all day so we don’t have to worry about it. Yeah that’s the response I got from my own family
Also the hrr doesn't show much of a cap like we are seeing...so the first/leading convection it shows prob isnt going to happen
Which one there's three tornado warnings
That, and the HRRR has been doing that since last night. The SPC probably believes the OWS is going to open up vs what the HRRR has been showing.