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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

UncleJuJu98 said:
I think this needs to be said, but in Alabama and Mississippi this Saturday, you should not be chasing tornadoes if your a newbie. This event is dangerous. I hope nobody thinks it'll be cool to storm chase that never has and ends up getting themselves killed because of our terrain or just because of silly mistakes. You should also be figuring out a plan and finding your local storm shelter
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There are very very few places in my area
( northeast ms) That's "good" to chance in.
A tornado could literally be a 100 yards to your left or right while your driving, and you would NOT see it for all the trees and hills.

45 alternate south of Shannon in Lee and chickasaw county Is a good place. It looks like the delta for several miles.
 
Smokedevil said:
I have a huge nervous knot in my stomach. I'm about to head in for a 48 hour shift on a ambulance in the middle of it.
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Stay safe man.
Grand Poo Bah said:
Is there somewhere can I view HRRR runs for free outside of tropical tidbits? they don't seem to have the entire run.
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Cod meteorology and pivotal weather
 
Smokedevil said:
There are very very few places in my area
( northeast ms) That's "good" to chance in.
A tornado could literally be a 100 yards to your left or right while your driving, and you would NOT see it for all the trees and hills.

45 alternate south of Shannon in Lee and chickasaw county Is a good place. It looks like the delta for several miles.
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I had never thought about it, but there probably are a lot of good chasing areas across the Black Belt Prairie that arcs through East Mississippi and Central Alabama. Mostly flat and lots of open farmland.
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Been following this since page 1 and I still think we're going to get on the action here in Cincinnati Saturday morning. Praying for those in the high risk (not basing this on SPC talk) area. Stay safe and vigilant. This one looks like the real deal.
 
Justin Hindman said:
Looking at the new hrr run, it’s game on. High risk for sure. Reguardless if they issue one or not, it’s gonna be the biggest day imo since April 27. Please take the time to get a kit ready for this day in your basement, or stay at a friends that had a big basement.
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I trust you’re words a lot in this thread and the fact you’re saying this, I really think this is going to be the biggest tornado day since April 27.
 
Fred Gossage said:
This isn't just the HRRR being the HRRR or whatever. The 0z run took one storm south of NOLA overnight and did feedback upon itself until it developed a feedback-induced shortwave that bred that big rain complex, and it still did the tornado outbreak with a violent supercell up into Limestone and Lawrence Counties of AL. This run doesn't do that, has more of the expected EML capping over the warm sector, rapidly pushes those WAA showers northward with the surging LLJ late morning, and a rapidly destabilizing high-octane air mass behind it. The 6z HRRR, imo, is closer to reality for what to expect out of the synoptics and global teleconnections that we have in place with the Saturday system.
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So if I'm reading this right(and I don't want to put words in your mouth so if this wrong I'll retract the statement) even if Alabama or Mississippi gets a morning convection MCS it may not even matter because the atmosphere might rapidly recover from it?
 
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