Guess the final tornado tally is not over…
I think we should wait to see the tornado ratings from this event before calling it anything - definitely wasn’t a “super” outbreak but it may have come close, depending on how many tornadoes are rated highly. I genuinely believe a lot of the tornadoes between both days had significant/violent potential to them, especially those late Friday night and very early Saturday morning.
Doubt It beats 3/31. That was a record for 24 hours. Although with 22 fatalities, and March 31 had 26.
I agree with this as far as total numbers go, but I do believe there were more intense tornadoes this go around. I’ll eat my words if I’m wrong though.
Well said. That event, April 27th, had an incredibly large cap on it preventing any shower development like we saw yesterday. Not to mention, having the ingredients in place to make a "loaded gun" scenario where a line of super cellular storms exploded and rotated violently in a heartbeat. In my opinion, it wouldn't be surprising if we still don't see another April 27th in the next decade plus.
People are ignorant.
Yes indeed. Rare setup for the south.
The storm modes were a bit different actually. 4/27 & especially 4/3/74 featured very widely spaced discrete supercells. Similar to what you saw on the 3/31 southern region, except more numerous and over a wider area. While 3/31’s northern mode contained quasi-discrete elements, it quickly congealed into a line and that major QLCS accounted for a lot of the tornados that were counted. Similar to how the overnight QLCS helped up the numbers for 4/27/11
Goes to show how rare it is to get widely spaced supercells. Though Friday night was an example a bit.
Yeah, it’s very hard to get a perfect storm mode set up like that and requires multiple storms firing at different locations out in the OWS vs each coming off the forcing from a surface boundary. Very difficult to get. Palm Sunday 1965 would be another good example.
Yes, that’s a good point. I think both Friday and Yesterday were highly cyclic. The strong shear meant the mid level mesocyclones were obviously strong but I noticed the RFDs were often quite unstable, in some cases positioned behind the FFD of the supercell which resulted in numerous tornadoes, each strong, from most of the supercells. As opposed to a day like 12/10 where your supercells were extremely stable and long tracked. The observed sound from LIX at 18z yesterday in fact was very plains like I thought, with the classic sickle shape.
