Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Clancy]

That is one big PDS watch. You're included @JPWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 36
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Far Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 730 PM
until 300 AM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the
watch area over the next several hours. Environmental conditions are
very favorable for supercells capable of all severe hazards,
including very large hail (i.e. greater than 2" in diameter) and
strong (EF2+) tornadoes. If storms can remain discrete, potential
exists for a few long-track tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Evansville
IN to 25 miles southwest of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

 

[Equus]

Cells growing along the Mississippi River southwest of that PDS watch are intriguing; might get the overnight round started early

 

[klouzek7079]

two separate warnings, one extension, one new warning
View attachment 35684

I jinxed myself, didn't I? Taking cover now.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

That is one big PDS watch. You're included @JPWX

View attachment 35691

Tupelo could conceivably be under a PDS tornado watch for about the next 24 hours straight.

 

[Ledian]

90/80 probs...oh brother.

 

[hurricaneguy]

So far thankfully the MO cells are not staying discrete like the HRRR was showing most of the day

 

[TornadoFan]

Not liking the look of the Clarksville storm.

 

[jiharris0220]

Storms are beginning to initiate along the dry line in Texas, watch for these in the coming hours as they move east into the better kinimatics.

 

[Muwx]

Any chance this PDS watch is indicative of a late night upgrade to high risk?

 

[Brice W]

No. Too late for it.

 

[N0mz]

Rolla warning extended

 

[MMWX]

Cells crossing the MS river are practically exploding when they get on the MS side.

 

[MoonBaby]

So no sleep tonight or tomorrow until the storms pass. We should have like conventions like dragon con but for weather people during a severe weather episode to hide in a bunker and watch together (with our kids and pets).

 

[ColdFront]

I know this event is starting to get earnest, just a reminder 0Z HRRR runs in 15 minutes

 

[Jason Mills]

Why is Mansfield not warned? Seriously.

That’s side lobe contamination.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

So far thankfully the MO cells are not staying discrete like the HRRR was showing most of the day

I think the big troublemakers will be those cells developing near Clarksville to Mt. Ida, AR which will track across the southeastern third of the state over the next 3-4 hours, hence the PDS there.

 

[AJS]

So far thankfully the MO cells are not staying discrete like the HRRR was showing most of the day

No matter if they were discrete or not; they were still going to produce lots of tornadoes. The event tonight hasn’t even tapped into it’s full potential just yet.

 

[JPWX]

I'll be honest. I did not anticipate a PDS Tornado Watch for North MS tonight.

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

This is certainly a look. Like @andyhb pointed out, a very volatile environment ahead of these storms as they progress to the east. Tornado outbreak appears increasingly likely.

 

[N0mz]

Tornado warning extended