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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

NorthGaWeather said:
We're growing increasingly concerned about West-Central and Northwest Georgia. Local research suggests that the overlap of thermodynamics/kinematics here, while less than to the west, is substantial and supportive of intense tornadic supercells (semi-discrete/embedded). Significant damaging wind potential (gusts >70/80 mph) and significant tornadoes all seem on the table. Along and west of a Blue Ridge-Atlanta-Eastman line is my greatest concern. Have a way to get a warning Saturday for the Georgia posters.
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What about North Metro Atlanta? I'm mainly concerned about a likely QLCS but am also curious to hear your thoughts.
 
Atomz said:
What about North Metro Atlanta? I'm mainly concerned about a likely QLCS but am also curious to hear your thoughts.
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The North Metro is clearly in play for significant event potential, depending on where individual cells visit. As of the current modeling, I'm set on the idea of a broken line/s of supercells transiting West Central-North Central GA in the late evening hours of Saturday. I don't think it will look like your traditional QLCS. Again, this could change, but based on experience and the current setup I think we'll stay semi-discrete longer than you would typically see.
 
NorthGaWeather said:
The North Metro is clearly in play for significant event potential, depending on where individual cells visit. As of the current modeling, I'm set on the idea of a broken line/s of supercells transiting West Central-North Central GA in the late evening hours of Saturday. I don't think it will look like your traditional QLCS. Again, this could change, but based on experience and the current setup I think we'll stay semi-discrete longer than you would typically see.
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Yeah, I agree. There's definitely a lot more potential with this event than with other systems, especially considering that we don't have to worry about CAD, which always obliterates our severe weather potential. Instability definitely is sufficient enough this time (At least over 500 j/kg across the majority of the state) which combined with our impressive kinematics means that whatever forms in MS/AL will definitely be able to sustain itself into GA. Praying that everybody to be affected by these storms is well-aware and prepared.
 
tornado examiner said:
So…does this have the capability to verify as a super outbreak when everything is said and done?
I see that even the floor is primed for devastation.
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Let's just see how tonight and tommrow morning rain/storms play out first before bringing that potential up. We should just look at this event as being a bad day for tornadoes I think
 
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