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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

jiharris0220 said:
I’m gonna make the guess that perhaps you’re going to create a thread and make it so only users with the “meteorologist” tag can only post in.

That would certainly come in handy.
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Great idea, but it would be good if everyone had read-only access, just not posting abilities. I'm a mere amateur, but still like learning about the science behind our weather. Also, when I see the Convective Outlook looking ominous 3-4 days out, this forum is always the next place I check.
 
Agree with the sentiments here. It’s no one’s fault in particular, but it seems as well the same topics get brought up again 4-5 times a day. Some of that could be attributed to folks not reading through the other 60 pages. We’ve discussed why we can’t have a D3 high risk, wildfires 3-4 times now, and somehow fixing the violent tornado parameter in a thread about a severe weather event.

I don’t really think the fire outlook getting posted 5 times is relevant to this thread.
 
jiharris0220 said:
I don’t particularly prefer the fact the hrrr is consistently braking up the line segment in the northern part of the dry line to the point where it’s now a semi discrete mode.
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Oh and look what it casually has going on in Mississippi. At 9PM tonight.
 
Going to chime in with a bit of a disagreement. If a seperate thread is created for the mets then it should be for substantive updates only. Andy, Fred et al. have engaged in plenty of interesting discussion that possibly mightn't have happened if such a decision had been made earlier, unless they pasted the same posts into here to discuss them. This is after all a place to discuss the weather.

Repetition and multiple posts on the same thing is an unfortunate fact of internet forums - as anyone who's followed the Significant Tornado Events thread, and its predecessor on the old Talkweather site, for well over a decade can attest. Obviously this is an unusual and potentially historic event. and traffic has been unusual with a lot of new posters. Previous big events have tended to generate under 25 pages before the day-of. I think if anything's done it should be a (probable) one off, and should try split the conversation as little a possible.
 
A Guy said:
Going to chime in with a bit of a disagreement. If a seperate thread is created for the mets then it should be for substantive updates only. Andy, Fred et al. have engaged in plenty of interesting discussion that possibly mightn't have happened if such a decision had been made earlier, unless they pasted the same posts into here to discuss them. This is after all a place to discuss the weather.

Repetition and multiple posts on the same thing is an unfortunate fact of internet forums - as anyone who's followed the Significant Tornado Events thread, and its predecessor on the old Talkweather site, for well over a decade can attest. Obviously this is an unusual and potentially historic event. and traffic has been unusual with a lot of new posters. Previous big events have tended to generate under 25 pages before the day-of. I think if anything's done it should be a (probable) one off, and should try split the conversation as little a possible.
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“traffic has been unusual with a lot of new posters“

This right here is the main problem, 5 years ago no one here could’ve fathom a SVR weather thread surpassing 100 pages.

Here we are now about to surpass the March 31/April 1st thread and the event hasn’t even started yet.

Don’t get me wrong, it’s nice to have so many people watching/interacting with these threads, but it’s definitely becoming a little much now.

Hopefully some solution could help in creating better management, somehow…
 
A Guy said:
Going to chime in with a bit of a disagreement. If a seperate thread is created for the mets then it should be for substantive updates only. Andy, Fred et al. have engaged in plenty of interesting discussion that possibly mightn't have happened if such a decision had been made earlier, unless they pasted the same posts into here to discuss them. This is after all a place to discuss the weather.

Repetition and multiple posts on the same thing is an unfortunate fact of internet forums - as anyone who's followed the Significant Tornado Events thread, and its predecessor on the old Talkweather site, for well over a decade can attest. Obviously this is an unusual and potentially historic event. and traffic has been unusual with a lot of new posters. Previous big events have tended to generate under 25 pages before the day-of. I think if anything's done it should be a (probable) one off, and should try split the conversation as little a possible.
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I agree with you. The thread for 4/27 was one thread and for posterity's sake, I'm glad it was. We used to create separate threads for events for one thread being discussion and another being warnings. You know what ended up happening? Warnings getting posted in both threads and it solved nothing.
 
LoopingHodos said:
The other huge culprit is “I have a bad feeling…”.

We all need our outlets but some people use this board as therapy- over and over and over. Sometimes over and over on the same events.
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I agree. I don't believe in feelings. I believe in the science and what the pros here post.

We won't know for sure until tomorrow on the how bad and where, no matter what the models show.

These guys are 8th degree blackbelts, and I barely have my yellow.
 
ColdFront said:
12Z HRRR paints a very dangerous looking situation for Mississippi tonight.
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The fact that it hits Mississippi with long track tornadic supercells tonight for the first round definitely is akin to lacerating the skin and then cutting the arm with a sword regarding the second round on Saturday.

I’m really hoping nothing too severe occurs tonight there that causes widespread power outages or structural damage/loss of life before the main event begins.
 
jiharris0220 said:
“traffic has been unusual with a lot of new posters“

This right here is the main problem, 5 years ago no one here could’ve fathom a SVR weather thread surpassing 100 pages.

Here we are now about to surpass the March 31/April 1st thread and the event hasn’t even started yet.
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An interesting, though not really relevant, question for me is - why? Internet forums were in general far more lively fifteen years ago. Nearly every forum discussing topics I'm interested in is dead, some have vanished completely. And they're often niche things. Sure we have forecasts painting the picture of a possible historic event, but so was 27/4/11. Is it simply everyone having smartphones, and finding the info here more useful than on the big social media sites?
 
We're growing increasingly concerned about West-Central and Northwest Georgia. Local research suggests that the overlap of thermodynamics/kinematics here, while less than to the west, is substantial and supportive of intense tornadic supercells (semi-discrete/embedded). Significant damaging wind potential (gusts >70/80 mph) and significant tornadoes all seem on the table. Along and west of a Blue Ridge-Atlanta-Eastman line is my greatest concern. Have a way to get a warning Saturday for the Georgia posters.
 
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