Kds86z
Member
But most recent day 1 says :Are they seeing something we aren't? I keep seeing people say that the mode will more than likely be linear and/or messy, which the SPC agrees with in their most recent D1.
Intense tornadoes
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But most recent day 1 says :Are they seeing something we aren't? I keep seeing people say that the mode will more than likely be linear and/or messy, which the SPC agrees with in their most recent D1.
FWIW: The latest run of WoFS seems to hint that they will mature. It wants to produce two waves, one with storms along I-35 from southern MN into central IA, then another batch of storms ahead of the line across eastern IA and western WI. Both sets have some hints of mid and low-level helicity tracks, but its still early in the run to make much of a solid prediction. Just another data point.Echo Tops near Elkader, IA. Don't know if theyll turn into popcorn storms of a supercell so, we will see.
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SUMMARY...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT PROGRESSING EASTWARD/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, WHERE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF ALL SEVERE
HAZARDS, INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES,
ARE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT
AS WELL, WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS THE PRIMARY RISK WITH
THESE STORMS.
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SUMMARY...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT PROGRESSING EASTWARD/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, WHERE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF ALL SEVERE
HAZARDS, INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES,
ARE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT
AS WELL, WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS THE PRIMARY RISK WITH
THESE STORMS.