Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12

[cincywx]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0200
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0849 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 32...

VALID 110149Z - 110245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 32 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A SUPERCELL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO INTENSE
TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE SUPERCELL REMAINS ONGOING ACROSS STARKE
COUNTY IN WITHIN TORNADO WATCH 32. BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND
ENVIRONMENTAL DATA, A POTENTIALLY STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADO RECENTLY
OCCURRED WITH POTENTIAL PEAK WINDS OF 120 TO 140 MPH (EF2-EF3). THE
ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM ALONG THE WARM FRONT REMAINS VERY CONDUCIVE
TO TORNADOES WITH AN STP OF 2-3 AND ESRH OF 300-400 M2/S2. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES
THIS EVENING.

..LYONS.. 03/11/2026

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

So southern Michigan is is expecting hail correct just so we are clear

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

I just want to be certain since I don’t want to freak them out since of what happened last time

 

[Maxis_s]

It might be done. Don't rule it out yet but that boundary mightve cut it off for good.

The warm front/boundary is still fairly north of it into far southern MI

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Almost all the Illinois storms have left the OWS. IN storm is still in a prime environment. Might need to get a little further away from the lake, but it's got plenty of breathing room to the NE after that. Pic is SB CAPE

 

[JPWX]

Was there one on March 31st?

No. The 2012 one was on March 2nd.

 

[Beachwalker]

So southern Michigan is is expecting hail correct just so we are clear

Grand Rapids may have huge flooding from that continued training of heavy cells

 

[Tennie]

Damage was reported several miles west of Knox (specifically at the intersection of East 200 South and East 50 South. Many large diameter trees were were reportedly completely uprooted, along with some other property damage noted.

 

[speedbump305]

Damage was reported several miles west of Knox (specifically at the intersection of East 200 South and East 50 South. Many large diameter trees were were reportedly completely uprooted, along with some other property damage noted.

I figured that would be the case. It looked to have hit a lot of rural streets and communities.

 

[Ozonelayer]

The warm front/boundary is still fairly north of it into far southern MI

Yeah SPC just released a new MCD saying more intense tornadoes are possible

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Were not done I guess. As long as it drills through the stable layer continously, this will continue to be a volatile parameter space for sig to possibly violent tornadoes.

 

[Maxis_s]

I could honestly see this producing tornadoes into far NW OH

 

[Kds86z]

 

[US_Highway15]

Still a little debris signature on CC, but velocity is less to be desired for.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

I could honestly see this producing tornadoes into far NW OH

One of the streamers is saying it's probably done for good but I don't believe it when you take a look at mesoanalysis. Very potent environment, it may just be undergoing a little process. I hope it's done soon

 

[Muwx]

Sparks ok storm continues to wrap up. I’d warn it…

 

[Maxis_s]

One of the streamers is saying it's probably done for good but I don't believe it when you take a look at mesoanalysis. Very potent environment, it may just be undergoing a little process. I hope it's done soon

Yeah that streamer has no idea what he's talking about. What a dumb thing to say

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[akt1985]

With the training of storms along the warm front, flash flooding is starting to become an issue.

 

[Beachwalker]

I think I said this last week but man these forecasting models are pretty darn good lately.