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Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12

I've reviewed all the available damage photos and have rating guesses.

1. Kankakee, IL - Despite looking absolutely monstrous yesterday I'd be surprised if Kankakee is rated higher than LE EF3. The foundation of the one home that was swept was half stone, and half CMU with no anchoring, and the one tree in the immediate vicinity was barely damaged. (First photo credit: Aaron Rigsby)

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2. Aroma Park, IL - Not sure if this was the same tornado from Kankakee or separate, but it looks HE EF3. It's an interesting case because despite heavy tree damage, a lot of homes' damage was relatively minor. I'm guessing they were possibly built to hurricane spec or something. (credit: Chicago tribune and Chicago & MW storm chasers)

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3. Lake Village, IN - based on the images and analysis posted here i'd say it definitely looks LE-mid EF4. The granulation, wind rowing, debarking, and swept well-constructed residence all have "the look"

4. Knox, IN and Wheatfield, IN - haven't seen any damage photos. Does anyone have any?
 
I've reviewed all the available damage photos and have rating guesses.

1. Kankakee, IL - Despite looking absolutely monstrous yesterday I'd be surprised if Kankakee is rated higher than LE EF3. The foundation of the one home that was swept was half stone, and half CMU with no anchoring, and the one tree in the immediate vicinity was barely damaged. (First photo credit: Aaron Rigsby)

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View attachment 51516

2. Aroma Park, IL - Not sure if this was the same tornado from Kankakee or separate, but it looks HE EF3. It's an interesting case because despite heavy tree damage, a lot of homes' damage was relatively minor. I'm guessing they were possibly built to hurricane spec or something. (credit: Chicago tribune and Chicago & MW storm chasers)

View attachment 51517View attachment 51518
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3. Lake Village, IN - based on the images and analysis posted here i'd say it definitely looks LE-mid EF4. The granulation, wind rowing, debarking, and swept well-constructed residence all have "the look"

4. Knox, IN and Wheatfield, IN - haven't seen any damage photos. Does anyone have any?
We are still waiting on some damage photos from Knox and Wheatland and I’d be willing to bet we haven’t seen all the damage from Lake Village either.
 
Think Cove, PA may have just taken a hit.
Far from positive though. the velocities don’t look super impressive. Granted, we are very far away from the radar.
The good news is there ain't much in "Cove." That's essentially a few buildings and houses on a windy section of road and railroad along the Susquehanna. In fact, I never even knew that area had a name before now
 
Fortunately Hershey Park is still closed for the season. The attraction is in the path of the possible tornado according to the warning text.
No, Hershey is well to the south of the likely track. In fact, the likely track was about as safe as you can get in the area because it would primarily track over state forest along Peter's Mountain.

Edit: that said, today is not a good day to be an AT thru hiker
 
SPC not particularly impressed with convective potential in the Deep South at the moment. However, I do think an increase in organization and/or intensity is in the cards by this evening. Still not a guarantee though, so will have to wait and see what happens. I suspect greatest significant severe potential will be where QLCS and semi-discrete convection meet, probably in parts of central Mississippi.
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