speedbump305
Member
Each scan has shown the storm near Turkey, TX growing and increasing in size. This one could be getting its act together.
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Severe Weather 3/4 - 3/8
- Thread starter Sharpy
- Start date
Tanner
Member
Clout...I mean, chaser Connor Croff is trying to find every negative excuse on chaser's streams. Genuinely frustrating to hear while other chasers are talking about the storm. The storm is not left splitting, and it is starting to slow a bit and turn east.
Ozonelayer
Member
SVR warned now
Kds86z
Member
He does seem negative lol.. even from his x posts, lot of..
Muwx
Member
It sure appeared to be splitting on radar.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Yeah, it hasn't been seeming like a left splitter whatsoever. It's just been struggling to maintain really
Kds86z
Member
Beachwalker
Member
Just needed some time.
Beachwalker
Member
Oh man, she’s a splitter!
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
I mean i did expect this time period to be something but the environment isn't exactly too crazy atm. Storms may be still struggling to sustain and still remain elevated. I still remain unconvinced on the nocturnal portion of the event, a lot more uncertainty with how the day has unfolded. This wasn't meant to be a daytime threat either, i was waiting for sunset. This could be our event or not.
TornadoFan
Member
She is pretty, I'll give it that.
Tanner
Member
It did just split..albeit successfully. We now have a maturing right-moving cell that split to the right of the mean motion. Sometimes these splits can weaken the storm, which was a concern. It appears not to have.
Also, look at the inflow tail on reflectivity.
KakashiHatake2000
Member
According to convective chronicles llj is supposed to ramp up according to the model he used I think it showed 40 kt and goes up higher 50 not sure but was showing red so maybe 60
Kds86z
Member
VALID 060045Z - 060245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE A RISK FOR ALL SEVERE HAZARDS OVER
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS THEY PROGRESS EAST/NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
DISCUSSION...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO BECOME
BETTER ESTABLISHED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
OVER THE PAST HOUR AMIDST RESIDUAL CAPPING AND WEAK SYNOPTIC-SCALE
FORCING. WHILE IT REMAINS UNCLEAR AS TO HOW MANY SUPERCELLS WILL
DEVELOP, THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME BETTER
ESTABLISHED OVER THE COMING 1-2 HOURS AS MID-LEVEL CAPPING CONTINUES
TO ERODE. AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF
1500-2000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KTS WILL THEN
SUPPORT A RISK OF ALL SEVERE HAZARDS. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
EXCEEDING 7.5 C/KM AND AN INITIAL DISCRETE STORM MODE WILL SUPPORT
THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL TO 3" IN DIAMETER. WITH TIME, A
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO YIELDING ENLARGED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS, WHICH WOULD BRING AN INCREASED TORNADO THREAT
INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS.
..CHALMERS/MOORE.. 03/06/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.G
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
CheeselandSkies
Member
Just had quite the convective blowup northwest of Clinton, OK as well. Likely elevated or soon will be, racing off to the north, but could pose a large hail threat.
*Edit: Severe-warned as I was typing the post.
*Edit: Severe-warned as I was typing the post.
TornadoFan
Member
Lurking after dark.
