Severe Weather 3/15 - 3/16

[Kds86z]

And so it begins:

Storm Prediction Center Tornado Watch 53

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

Already posted

 

[KevinH]

Latest HRRR vs. latest RRFS valid at 7pm. Nearly identical

That is just downright disgusting!!!

Be safe!!!

 

[KevinH]

Already posted

Ok @Clancy Jr lol

 

[The Nino]

i was wrong.

it’s been four years.

Jefferson County marks record four-year streak without tornado warnings

Jefferson County, Alabama marks record four-year streak without tornado warnings

www.wvtm13.com

That’s still nuts

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Latest HRRR vs. latest RRFS valid at 7pm. Nearly identical

Wow. Jesus. Not good

 

[Clancy]

Just figured it's worth mentioning: anywhere along this QLCS will be facing damaging winds, potentially some serious straight-line winds this afternoon through Monday morning. I know we're largely focusing on the tornado risk, but everyone in the path of the line should make reasonable preparations for wind damage and power outages - keep your devices charged, move stuff off the lawn and have your plans in place and be prepared to use it when the QLCS approaches, regardless of whether a tornado risk is present or not.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

The environment is actually looking quite juicy in Arkansas right now based on SPC hourly mesoscale analysis.

 

[Kds86z]

The fast nature of these storms is not gonna help. Severe thunderstorms thus far are clocking at 50/55 mph.

 

[Clancy]

How many hazards did you order? All of them?

 

[CheeselandSkies]

12Z RRFS has a few prefrontals with UH swaths >75m²/s² around 23Z this evening, mainly in western TN/northern MS.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

How many hazards did you order? All of them?
View attachment 51880

Yep. https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/AllOfThem

Otherwise known as a "kitchen sink storm."

 

[Kds86z]

 

[JPWX]

12Z RRFS has a few prefrontals with UH swaths >75m²/s² around 23Z this evening, mainly in western TN/northern MS.

The 18z HRRR is now showing that potential as well. In fact, the 18z run doesn't even have a solid line of storms.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

There aren't any observed soundings from Little Rock, but the Shrevport and Springfield soundings have a bit of "the look" to them.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

How many hazards did you order? All of them?
View attachment 51880

It’s a supreme pizza with all of the (hazards) toppings ordered conus sized lol

 

[lake.effect]

18z hrrr drops the hammer, big tor outbreak tonight / tomorrow

 

[speedbump305]

18z hrrr drops the hammer, big tor outbreak tonight / tomorrow

Let’s see it. My service is dog crap where I am so I can’t get anything to load.

 

[Kds86z]

Let’s see it. My service is dog crap where I am so I can’t get anything to load.

I hope that improves so you can follow along.

 

[cyelle21]

Just figured it's worth mentioning: anywhere along this QLCS will be facing damaging winds, potentially some serious straight-line winds this afternoon through Monday morning. I know we're largely focusing on the tornado risk, but everyone in the path of the line should make reasonable preparations for wind damage and power outages - keep your devices charged, move stuff off the lawn and have your plans in place and be prepared to use it when the QLCS approaches, regardless of whether a tornado risk is present or not.

I live in a mobile home...so I am making plans to stay somewhere else. When we were at a level 2, I was considering staying. But now since the whole state is a level 3, I think that it will be in my best interest to stay somewhere else.