Severe Weather 2026

[eep]

Don't know why they went with a Cig1 today, seemed like it instantly squalled out.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Tis the season of long-range megatroughs decaying into slow-moving cutoff lows

I seen your reply on that post. That guy's always at it lmfao with the if this trough does this and that

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Not really sure as to what a proximity sounding would be I presume it would be a sounding that is near or at the target region

Yeah, that's it. Gets a good idea of what you're dealing with when you don't have observed soundings all the time due to NWS cuts.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Don't know why they went with a Cig1 today, seemed like it instantly squalled out.

Conditional with shear but was slop from the beginning. Even the stuff south of the boundary slopped out

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

I see thanks again weatherman leprechaun appreciate it I’m guessing that is from the weather models themselves

 

[KevinH]

Unfortunately, you have companies/people who don't call 811 before they dig and they end up cutting a fiber line.

Fair... lol

The timing and frequency though

 

[TheSuckZone]

Unfortunately, you have companies/people who don't call 811 before they dig and they end up cutting a fiber line.

I love those commercials.

"Steve is about to make a very big mistake"

 

[eep]

Fair... lol

The timing and frequency though

Those contractors spawn in whenever the fiber cables are at their most necessary.

 

[JPWX]

Those contractors spawn in whenever the fiber cables are at their most necessary.

 

[KevinH]

One of the funniest movies EVER!!!!!

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Don't mean to be the bearer of bad news but I'm hearing that next weeks system could be a gulf coast scraper that could leave us and southeast in cool stable air and just cold rain from spann still far out but things could change besides the point of a different rouge post on Facebook calling for strong long track tornadoes this far out hahaha lol

 

[Kds86z]

Never forget ..

 

[Kds86z]

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Gfs and euro do look a little more promising for inland now

 

[MichelleH]

SPC seems to be thinking scraper this morning as well, but things could change. They have before.

...DISCUSSION...
...Central/Southern Plains to Lower MS Valley Vicinity...

An upper trough is forecast to progress eastward from the western
states on Day 4/Sun to the MS Valley by Day 8/Thu. As this occurs, a
deepening surface cyclone will develop over the central Plains on
Sunday night into Monday and slowly shift east toward the Mid/Upper
MS Valley through Tuesday. A secondary low may also develop across
the southern Plains during this time. As the low progresses east, a
strong autumn cold fold will sweep across the Plains.

Strong south/southwesterly deep-layer flow will overspread rich
boundary layer moisture ahead of the front, and at least modest
destabilization is likely. However, deep-layer flow will be parallel
to this boundary, with a highly meridional component to deep-layer
flow. This may result in widespread heavy rain and training
precipitation, especially given this system will only slowly
progress eastward, and limit a greater severe thunderstorm risk.
Nevertheless, low severe thunderstorm potential is possible across
parts of the southern plains toward the Lower MS Valley/Gulf Coast
Monday into Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday across the Southeast. At
this time, severe potential appears too low/uncertain/conditional to
include 15 percent probabilities, but trends will continue to be
monitored for increasing severe thunderstorm chances early to
mid-week.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

so another words a brief one did happen..

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Euro almost turns this into a double barrel low with a potential threat in the Midwest and southeast. Nice! Maybe a good Ole gulllywasher QCLS

 

[CheeselandSkies]

so another words a brief one did happen..

"Leaves, small branches, and water from Love Lake were lofted."

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

"Leaves, small branches, and water from Love Lake were lofted."

View attachment 55440

Just hope you had insurance …