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Severe Weather 2026

GXSC said:
I don't know how many people know about this, but a few weeks after 9/11, an F1 tornado went right through Washington, DC View attachment 54940
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akt1985 said:
A short distance away a few weeks after 9/11 was an F3 Tornado that hit College Park, Maryland and the University of Maryland campus.
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Both were from an outbreak on the 24th in the region that included an F4 in northern Virginia. I think it’s fascinating that we got back to back years with violent tornadoes in the DMV
 
Brice W said:
Speaking of severe weather 2027….. @KevinH
If you know you know ;).
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Hahahahhahaha....

Apparently I created the 2027 thread too early and was burned at the stake for it. lol

@MichelleH, @WesL Is it that time NOW? lol

Should be interesting to see how El Niño affects the weather over the next several months.

(Side note @Brice W: For some reason, I wasn't "watching" this thread. I just happened to look at my notifications while reading another thread and saw that you mentioned me lol)
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Allcaps "VERY" impressive

SPC...has marginal risk.
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Something I’ve noticed: you’ll have people (most often chasers) overhype every little thing when we’ve been in a lull of any kind, whether it’s from being in summer or from a dead spring/fall. It’s fairly obnoxious but sort of expected when you take the psychology factor into account.
 
slenker said:
Something I’ve noticed: you’ll have people (most often chasers) overhype every little thing when we’ve been in a lull of any kind, whether it’s from being in summer or from a dead spring/fall. It’s fairly obnoxious but sort of expected when you take the psychology factor into account.
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And the past 2 seasons being exceptional, especially from a chaser perspective, has only exasperated the hype. I fear for the 2024 comparisons that are going to be made next year
 
slenker said:
Something I’ve noticed: you’ll have people (most often chasers) overhype every little thing when we’ve been in a lull of any kind, whether it’s from being in summer or from a dead spring/fall. It’s fairly obnoxious but sort of expected when you take the psychology factor into account.
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Well to be fair it was actually upgraded to a slight risk with CIG1 hatching...at the time I made the post, the SPC site was showing me the updated outlook time (1912Z) but still the graphics from the old outlook. :mad:
 
I might make a thread on the upcoming setup but let's just say I'm not optimistic about it. Subsidence in the warm sector, cells lining up in a SW-NE orientation which can cut inflow off a lot, but guidance trended cooler on 700s. That's a key tidbit. Moisture advection however will matter significantly too. I'll see
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
I might make a thread on the upcoming setup but let's just say I'm not optimistic about it. Subsidence in the warm sector, cells lining up in a SW-NE orientation which can cut inflow off a lot, but guidance trended cooler on 700s. That's a key tidbit. Moisture advection however will matter significantly too. I'll see
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0Z NAM has pushed the unstable warm sector even further southwest, into Nebraska and Kansas. To think, 5 days ago or so the GFS had this as a decent setup for southern Wisconsin. :rolleyes:

Best-looking 500mb trough we've had in a while, but all the forcing with it is whiffing the warm sector way off to the north.
 
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