Severe Weather 2026

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Thread 'Severe Weather Thread - 7/18 - 7/21/2026'

Jul 17, 2026

Given we have several risks outlined, I'm surprised that nobody has caught on and made this threads but here we go.


For tomorrow:
Ohio Valley/Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast...
An active severe-weather day is expected Saturday from parts of the
Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic, as
scattered to widespread storms move through an increasingly
favorable environment. A 45% wind area has been added, resulting in
a categorical upgrade to Level-3/Enhanced Risk. The Enhanced Risk
area is a combination of multiple regimes which may...

• WeathermanLeprechaun

• 

Thread for this upcoming sequence. @mods

 

[Kds86z]

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Day 4-5 (Sunday-Monday) SPC areas issued for much of the Midwest/Great Lakes.

 

[Kds86z]

May in July today.

 

[Ozonelayer]

May in July today.

FINALLY, its been miserable for weeks here.

 

[Kds86z]

FINALLY, its been miserable for weeks here.

For sure @Ozonelayer. Record breaking .

 

[Kds86z]

Today’s tornado risk has been upgraded to 5% as it was 2% at the earlier outlook.

SOME TORNADO RISK WILL LIKELY FOCUS ACROSS NORTHERN MN
WHERE LOWER TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS AND ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS
BECOME CO-LOCATED FOR A FEW HOURS

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Oh I'm in that now note.......

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[akt1985]

There is an Enhanced Risk this afternoon/evening over most of Wisconsin for damaging winds.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

I heard here we could have a potential mcs in the southeast area

 

[Kds86z]

 

[jiharris0220]

Just your casual 9000+sb cape values. Some places just west of these values in Nebraska are recording 100 degrees over 80 dew points right now.

 

[ThatGuy;P]

Just your casual 9000+sb cape values. Some places just west of these values in Nebraska are recording 100 degrees over 80 dew points right now.
View attachment 54295

For anyone wondering, this is what that skew-t looks like:

 

[Kds86z]

Just your casual 9000+sb cape values. Some places just west of these values in Nebraska are recording 100 degrees over 80 dew points right now.
View attachment 54295

I shouldn’t complain here in pa

 

[jiharris0220]

SB cape values are now close to 10,000j/kg. Plenty of obs showing dew point temps in the 90s over mid 80s, with one weather ob showing 90 over 90.
Actual steam cooker.

 

[Beachwalker]

That is insane CAPE. Some folks gotta be just trying to survive.

 

[eep]

I think a meteorologist I follow said that it may ne lower quality ASOS stations messing up so it might not be as bad as reported. Still though, I would still imagine it's boiling out there.