Severe Weather 2025

[US_Highway15]

Hope everybody is paying attention there with good Friday services this evening.

Yeah especially in south western Oklahoma.

 

[ColdFront]

18z HRRR has a wicked rotating supercell coming through south central OK this evening. Oklahoma's gonna be popping off with storm chasers tonight!
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Pretty sure that streak is just the reverse image of rubber burning from Reed speeding back at the speed of light in the Dominator from Iowa

 

[AJS]

Pretty sure that streak is just the reverse image of rubber burning from Reed speeding back at the speed of light in the Dominator from Iowa

This actually made me spit my drink out because of how hard I laughed lmao.

 

[Kds86z]

Day 3… Missouri again

 

[AJS]

Enhanced Risk issued for Sunday.

 

[klouzek7079]

Day 3… Missouri again

*Sigh* after March 14th I think central MO can stay out of the NWS's mouth for a while

 

[Kds86z]

Enhanced Risk issued for Sunday.

Thank you! Forgot to mention that

 

[Aaron Rider]

Do you care to elaborate on what factors are leading you to believe this because I’ve seen you post it quite a bit lately? Is this some kind of climate change or “The Day After Tomorrow” scenario you are putting forward?
Because I just think you’re reading too much into the fire tornado warning and hurricane warning.

Last night wasn’t surprising at all, we get sneaky days like that in the plains all the time. The set ups are always so mercurial that getting two big supercells like last night is pretty common each spring.

If I see a 5 or 6 discrete supercells putting down violent, long tracked tornados in Alaska at the same time then maybe you can make that point.

Just as long as Pennsylvania doesn't become tornado alley and we can still grow apples and peaches, the earth can do what it wants

 

[AJS]

When are the storms forecasted for today supposed to initiate? Was checking to see if Ryan Hall was going live, but I’m not sure if he is.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

When are the storms forecasted for today supposed to initiate? Was checking to see if Ryan Hall was going live, but I’m not sure if he is.

2 to 3 hours from now I think.

 

[tornado examiner]

First EF3 confirmed from yesterday. The northern Omaha drillbit.

 

[AJS]

First EF3 confirmed from yesterday. The northern Omaha drillbit.

Any update on the Iowa monsters?

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Day 3… Missouri again

Enhanced Risk issued for Sunday.

Based on the model data I've seen, it's a good thing instability should be rather limited on Sunday because based on the model data I've seen that will be a very potent compact, negatively-tilted 500mb speed max; not unlike the sort that in recent years has led to events like Winterset, Keota and 4/26/24. NAM forecast hodographs along the warm front are insane.

 

[andyhb]

NAM 3 km is a significant event on Sunday in E KS into MO and potentially further south into NE OK and NW AR. Should instability be any greater than some of the globals are suggesting right now, this will get interesting quickly.

 

[AJS]

Based on the model data I've seen, it's a good thing instability should be rather limited on Sunday because based on the model data I've seen that will be a very potent compact, negatively-tilted 500mb speed max; not unlike the sort that in recent years has led to events like Winterset, Keota and 4/26/24. NAM forecast hodographs along the warm front are insane.

The Keota tornado might be my all time favorite tornado besides the Mayfield tornado. In my personal opinion, I have never seen such photogenic wedge producing storm in my lifetime.

 

[JPWX]

I did notice in reading MEG discussion that Euro has trended slower which would push a threat for rest of North MS back to Monday and perhaps lead to a greater risk.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[AJS]

Dang, saying the threat is increasing.

 

[Kds86z]

Dang, saying the threat is increasing.

Yeah bro, clear your evening plans lmao

 

[Kds86z]

First EF3 confirmed from yesterday. The northern Omaha drillbit.

I had a feeling. Oy. Another ef3.