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Severe Weather 2025

Kds86z said:
I’m bored in this pattern
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Tell me about it. Severe weather around here in Michiana (around South Bend IN) is so boring because 95% of the time we just get a squall/bowing line of storms with QLCS tornadoes. Heck, half the time before they get here, they weaken because of it either being night time, or due to the storms crossing over Lake Michigan. Very rarely do we get any supercells (especially discrete). Think the last we got some was last year, when strong tornadoes went through southern Michigan. Before last year, unless I'm wrong, but I believe it was like the 2019 Memorial Day Tornado Outbreak, but all the tornadoes were west of Fort Wayne.

The last time we had a High Risk (for 30% hatched tornadoes) around here was November 17th 2013 and all we got was straight-line winds. I'm thoroughly convinced I will never experience a forecasted High Risk day like 11/17/13 again in my lifetime, at least around here I won't.
 
Kds86z said:
Sorry @JPWX lol. I didn’t reference your area though.
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I'm just messing with ya. I do understand the wanting active weather and storms especially in areas that don't get much storm action outside of MCS events during the Summer months. I get into that mode during the Summer months, but at least I have hurricanes/tropical weather to watch.
 
US_Highway15 said:
Tell me about it. Severe weather around here in Michiana (around South Bend IN) is so boring because 95% of the time we just get a squall/bowing line of storms with QLCS tornadoes. Heck, half the time before they get here, they weaken because of it either being night time, or due to the storms crossing over Lake Michigan. Very rarely do we get any supercells (especially discrete). Think the last we got some was last year, when strong tornadoes went through southern Michigan. Before last year, unless I'm wrong, but I believe it was like the 2019 Memorial Day Tornado Outbreak, but all the tornadoes were west of Fort Wayne.

The last time we had a High Risk (for 30% hatched tornadoes) around here was November 17th 2013 and all we got was straight-line winds. I'm thoroughly convinced I will never experience a forecasted High Risk day like 11/17/13 again in my lifetime, at least around here I won't.
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I hear ya but More than me. Try Pennsylvania valley ha. I doubt I’ll see another 1985 outbreak. Or 1998. @US_Highway15
 
ColdFront said:
May 2003 was completely anomalous. What a pattern that was. I will say though, I don’t think ArkLaMiss/TN/Western KY will be done at the end of April. But I would agree with @UncleJuJu98 on Bama, I just haven’t seen anything long range pointing at any kind of tornado outbreak or significant severe weather through the end of April for them
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I'm perfectly fine with that. Also really love the current forum layout because it works so much faster with my crappy internet. I vote we keep it.
 
MichelleH said:
I'm perfectly fine with that. Also really love the current forum layout because it works so much faster with my crappy internet. I vote we keep it.
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Enjoy the layout, although my nighttime eyes miss dark mode a little bit! As for the weather, I'm relishing it not being 85+ degrees with a relative humidity of 97% because we'll get like 6 months of 95F+ moist, sopping-wet, moss-growing on my car weather come the end of May.
 
Regarding the severe weather threat Fri, Sat, & Sun in the Ozarks region. The NWS Springfield, MO is saying the threat for severe weather each day is conditional. It appears the heavy rainfall and flooding potential is becoming a greater concern.
 
JPWX said:
I'm going thru categorical risks for the state of MS since 2000. I've found some very interesting data that backs what @tennessee storm chaser says about May.
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Once you're done compiling and analyzing the data, please share the results with us, thanks!:)
 
Tennie said:
Once you're done compiling and analyzing the data, please share the results with us, thanks!:)
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I sure will. I'm planning to put all of it in a spreadsheet as well and get the percentages.
 
ColdFront said:
May 2003 was completely anomalous. What a pattern that was. I will say though, I don’t think ArkLaMiss/TN/Western KY will be done at the end of April. But I would agree with @UncleJuJu98 on Bama, I just haven’t seen anything long range pointing at any kind of tornado outbreak or significant severe weather through the end of April for them
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What do y'all think for the Texoma / Great Plains / South Plains area.. I think we might see some slight activity over the next week or so but things may cool down.
 
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