Severe Weather 2024

[James S]

Small conditional 5% tor tomorrow (5/24) here in S WI/ N IL, CSU-MLP has trended a bit upwards as well for the area

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Yeah, that piqued my interest, although the HRRR has an MCS moving across southern WI in the morning (ironic, because the mets at my work are forecasting sunny for the big event we have tomorrow morning followed by storms later), and nothing much in the way of robust discrete cells.

 

[TH2002]

Wow at that last video, that's some violent motion. It cleanly uproots a tree and throws it to the sky at about 22 seconds.

You can even see some horizontal vortices around the 0:24 mark. I doubt any of the structures it hit were well constructed, but undoubtedly significant (maybe EF2-ish?) winds there. Fortunately not hearing of any fatalities, though about 50 people were injured, some seriously.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

Remember about a month or so ago when we were questioning Plains wedge outbreaks being a thing of the past? Good times.

 

[Kds86z]

Remember about a month or so ago when we were questioning Plains wedge outbreaks being a thing of the past? Good times.

Yeah.. it’s crazy it’s been a month today since all the crazy footage and events.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

Remember about a month or so ago when we were questioning Plains wedge outbreaks being a thing of the past? Good times.

Yep. Lot of ridging on the models coming up though in June as usual. Although for the plains things switch from big synoptic scale systems to mesoscale driven surprises.

 

[jiharris0220]

Remember about a month or so ago when we were questioning Plains wedge outbreaks being a thing of the past? Good times.

Looking at this map doesn’t feel real, 3 violent tornadoes so far and every one of them are in the plains.

Meanwhile Dixie alley has been closed until further notice.

 

[Kds86z]

Looking at this map doesn’t feel real, 3 violent tornadoes so far and every one of them are in the plains.

Meanwhile Dixie alley has been closed until further notice.
View attachment 28040

Gotta go back to 2019 for April-may tornado numbers. 794 for that year. We’re not at 700 yet. Yeesh though

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

Looking at this map doesn’t feel real, 3 violent tornadoes so far and every one of them are in the plains.

Meanwhile Dixie alley has been closed until further notice.
View attachment 28040

I know Reed gets sh*t on a lot for his whole
Persona, but his season prediction video verified IMO. Late start with below average tornado counts in Dixie with the Plains “awakening” after a few dormant years. Same with Trey’s video.

 

[Kds86z]

But I think for April this year is most since 2011

 

[jiharris0220]

I know Reed gets sh*t on a lot for his whole
Persona, but his season prediction video verified IMO. Late start with below average tornado counts in Dixie with the Plains “awakening” after a few dormant years. Same with Trey’s video.

Yeah a lot of people I think forget he’s also a meteorologist, just, a bit different then the rest.

If life were a video game then Reed would be a weather weenie with max intelligence stats.

 

[TornadoFan17]

Yeah a lot of people I think forget he’s also a meteorologist, just, a bit different then the rest.

If life were a video game then Reed would be a weather weenie with max intelligence stats.

It's very hard to watch Reed. I understand chasing is stressful and adrenaline is high, but it feels like his crew takes it to the next level.

That being said, he knows his stuff. He has to obviously to be able to be constantly on the storms he is on.

 

[TH2002]

Beautiful landspout in Estonia yesterday.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

It's very hard to watch Reed. I understand chasing is stressful and adrenaline is high, but it feels like his crew takes it to the next level.

That being said, he knows his stuff. He has to obviously to be able to be constantly on the storms he is on.

His crew eventually tire of him. Joel did. It’s why he has new people rotating in every so often. Guy is great at what he does, but Joel even said he just wanted to chase and not deal with all the other “stuff” that comes with chasing next to Reed

 

[TornadoFan]

His crew eventually tire of him. Joel did. It’s why he has new people rotating in every so often. Guy is great at what he does, but Joel even said he just wanted to chase and not deal with all the other “stuff” that comes with chasing next to Reed

Joel and Reed were really close though.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Looking at this map doesn’t feel real, 3 violent tornadoes so far and every one of them are in the plains.

Meanwhile Dixie alley has been closed until further notice.
View attachment 28040

Minor quibble but I wouldn't call Iowa the Plains, moreso the Midwest. The northwest quadrant (particularly along and north of US-20 and west of I-35) actually looks the most like the ideal "Plains," quite flat and open as evidenced in photos/videos of the relatively numerous tornadoes that have occurred in the area around Fort Dodge, Gilmore City, Sac City, Pomeroy, etc over the years. The southwestern part is quite hilly and with a lot of trees (although still not as bad as most of Wisconsin or Dixie Alley), one of the reasons I wasn't keen to chase there again on May 21 after doing so on April 26 this year and May 7 of last year.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

Joel and Reed were really close though.

Absolutely. If you watch the series Reed did in 2013, it features him and Joel meeting up to hit some golf balls. Reed is trying to get him to go chase but that’s when Joel drops the line about “all the other stuff”. Just because Joel didn’t want to chase with him doesn’t mean he didn’t like him personally.

 

[jiharris0220]

Minor quibble but I wouldn't call Iowa the Plains, moreso the Midwest. The northwest quadrant (particularly along and north of US-20 and west of I-35) actually looks the most like the ideal "Plains," quite flat and open as evidenced in photos/videos of the relatively numerous tornadoes that have occurred in the area around Fort Dodge, Gilmore City, Sac City, Pomeroy, etc over the years. The southwestern part is quite hilly and with a lot of trees (although still not as bad as most of Wisconsin or Dixie Alley), one of the reasons I wasn't keen to chase there again on May 21 after doing so on April 26 this year and May 7 of last year.

I guess it’s personal preference, I consider southwest Iowa apart of the plains since it’s also relatively flat and has limited amount of forest coverage.

Here’s the objective map showing the region’s of the United States for those curious.

 

[Clancy]

I guess it’s personal preference, I consider southwest Iowa apart of the plains since it’s also relatively flat and has limited amount of forest coverage.

Here’s the objective map showing the region’s of the United States for those curious.
View attachment 28047

Like so many things, geography doesn't follow our need for delineation very well, and in reality none of these regions are defined in stone. That being said, the overall activity for the center third of the country has definitely been up this year.

 

[jiharris0220]

Like so many things, geography doesn't follow our need for delineation very well, and in reality none of these regions are defined in stone. That being said, the overall activity for the center third of the country has definitely been up this year.

The map doesn’t take climate nor geography into consideration at all.

It’s just a simple presentation of sections in the U.S only used to get a bearing on things.