Severe Weather 2024

[KevinH]

Has anyone seen anything for AFTER the likely event next week? Specifically May 10 and after?

 

[KevinH]

Unless ridging in place to the east weakens, not sure if mid south tennessee valley or even Dixie regions get in on another severe setup….. may can be tricky month for the mentioned areas….

I have been wondering about Dixie too after May 10….

 

[Fred Gossage]

Very inconsistent signals out that far for anything that may lead to a severe threat. However, one consistent thing I do see on the large scale out into mid May is that troughing wants to dig down in the East. So, if that's true, ridging isn't taking over in the Plains, and the upper jet isn't necessarily permanently shifting away just yet.

 

[JPWX]

Do what you will, but CFS Week 2 and Week 3 SCP hints at additional threats for the Mid-South/Tennessee Valley.

 

[MichelleH]

I have been wondering about Dixie too after May 10….

Don't write off the end of May. Look up May 27, 1973.

 

[KevinH]

Don't write off the end of May. Look up May 27, 1973.

Ok, so do you see anything in the current medium to long range models that say late May 2024 is something to watch?

 

[MichelleH]

Ok, so do you see anything in the current medium to long range models that say late May 2024 is something to watch?

I don't look at models, but I was just saying - in general - don't write off the end of May.

 

[KevinH]

I don't look at models, but I was just saying - in general - don't write off the end of May.

Oh got it lol

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[jiharris0220]

The plains have certainly made a comeback from the last year and current.

Not sure how I feel about Florida having more tornadoes than Alabama and Georgia combined.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

The plains have certainly made a comeback from the last year and current.

The timing too, kicked in just a couple hours after we were talking about if plains edges were a thing of the past.

 

[Blizzard1]

View attachment 26214

Crazy...Colorado and California combined have more than Arkansas and Tennessee combined!

 

[atrainguy]

Freaking West Virginia by itself has had more tornadoes than Tennessee and Arkansas combined as well.

 

[Fred Gossage]

The plains have certainly made a comeback from the last year and current.

Not sure how I feel about Florida having more tornadoes than Alabama and Georgia combined.

Very normal for them to be active with such a significant El Nino and intense subtropical jet stream in place. Some of their biggest non-tropical-cyclone tornado events on record down there have been during the late fall/winter/early spring of significant El Nino episodes.

 

[A Guy]

The contrast between opinions on here, which IMO tend to the bullish, more active side, and those in the chasing community, which tend to the bearish side, is always interesting to see:

 

[TornadoFan]

Looks like Texas is doing it again.

 

[TornadoFan]

There it is.

 

[JPWX]

Ballinger TX

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

The contrast between opinions on here, which IMO tend to the bullish, more active side, and those in the chasing community, which tend to the bearish side, is always interesting to see:

View attachment 26216

That’s funny. Not judging him or anything, but he was the guy I posted about last Thursday (the day before two VERY violent Plains outbreaks) saying that Thursday was an “insane set up” that Atmospheric Anti-Climax

 

[andyhb]

The contrast between opinions on here, which IMO tend to the bullish, more active side, and those in the chasing community, which tend to the bearish side, is always interesting to see:

View attachment 26216

Lol, let's just ignore everything from now until then. I'll say this right here, if you are constantly looking for reasons to not chase, you will find them.