Looks like a conditional but potentially significant tornado threat could develop in Iowa and south/southeastern MN on D3/Wed per the GFS and NAM, though the GFS is more honing in on the latter.
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Severe Weather 2023
- Thread starter KevinH
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Dude it's about to get hot as crap lol. 103 degrees forecast high in Birmingham friday
My area will be under an Excessive Hear Watch on Thursday. Heat Index values are predicted to reach or possibly exceed 110 degrees on Thursday and Friday.
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Where do you live?
Sawmaster
Member
Sunday looks interesting for me. Can't recall seeing that pattern in upstate SC before. 87 here today, gaining 2 deg daily till Sunday, so more or less normal summer simmer here. Some work to do outdoors this week, maybe some short workdays for me.
warneagle
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Apparently a pretty significant tornado in South Africa today
Argus
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FFC keeps mentioning MCS in their discussions again. Might need to start a thread.
Sure enough the SPC is now focusing on SE MN into western WI in its D2 outlook, but now curious to see if this round of Canadian wildfire smoke will provide any mitigation of the severe threat.
QLCS tornado in Denmark yesterday
atrainguy
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Couple of marginal tornado risks today, one in Midwest and one in High Plains. Feels like the 30th time that specific corner of Nebraska and Wyoming have been under some level of severe/tornado risk this month, lol.
SPC Day 1 Outlook
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
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atrainguy
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Also, the southern Great Lakes/Ohio Valley (particularly Illinois) look interesting the next couple of days, with a 5% tornado risk and 15% hatched area for hail tomorrow in Illinois. Oh, and take a wild guess what part of the plains have a severe risk again as well.
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For the past couple days Waco '53 has pretty consistently appeared as a sounding analog in parts of MN/WI/IA coinciding with the SLGT risk area. Shear is definitely on the weaker side but the SPC mentions that perhaps a tornado could come out of this if an isolated cell takes advantage of somewhat strong mid-level flow. Definitely not a setup that screams "significant to violent tornadoes" but even marginal days put me on edge sometimes...
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Reached 100 degrees at my house today. 
Shakespeare 2016
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- Augusta, Kansas
Pretty much the same thing here? 97 degrees with a dewpoint of 69 degrees. Very uncomfortable outside.
Welp, considering you live in the South, only 39% humidity at least. Though I'd be completely lying if I said anything above 85° or so is comfortable weather - most of the heat around here has surprisingly held off to this point, but we're supposed to reach 101° by Sunday...
Shakespeare 2016
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Well it just hit 100 degrees in my area with a dewpoint of 62 degrees.
Sawmaster
Member
Today's high was 87 and DP 68. Even working in the shade with a slight breeze I could only manage 4 hours work before good sense told me to go home. I've got 2 more months of this to look forward to 
Shakespeare 2016
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I believe you!!Today's high was 87 and DP 68. Even working in the shade with a slight breeze I could only manage 4 hours work before good sense told me to go home. I've got 2 more months of this to look forward to
Sawmaster
Member
Oh and I just found this HWO message:
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
A dome of high pressure will spread east from the Mississippi River
Valley to the southern Appalachians over the weekend. This will cause
hot temperatures to set up over the weekend across the western
Carolinas and northeast Georgia. High temperatures in the lower to
middle 90s, with humid conditions in place, will produce heat index
values of 100 to 105 on Saturday and Sunday afternoons.
Can I bum a ride to Alaska with anyone?
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
A dome of high pressure will spread east from the Mississippi River
Valley to the southern Appalachians over the weekend. This will cause
hot temperatures to set up over the weekend across the western
Carolinas and northeast Georgia. High temperatures in the lower to
middle 90s, with humid conditions in place, will produce heat index
values of 100 to 105 on Saturday and Sunday afternoons.
Can I bum a ride to Alaska with anyone?