Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[Clancy]

Forgot Indiana with 1. Also multiple in critical condition. Deadliest tornado outbreak since…? @Clancy

Mid-March outbreak I believe. Before that I'm not sure.

Tornado outbreak of March 13–16, 2025 - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Kds86z]

The storm system on March 14 and 15 had 43 fatalities as a whole, but 12/10/21 was definitely the deadliest outbreak prior to this.

Yes but I mean ONLY tornadic. That was 21-22. If tornado outbreak killed 30 plus its been years.

 

[Central Ohio Wx]

Yes but I mean ONLY tornadic. That was 21-22.

Yea, December 10 then.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Pretty sure this has been the deadliest tornado year since 2011 now, right?

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Central Ohio Wx]

Pretty sure this has been the deadliest tornado year since 2011 now, right?

I think 2021 was pretty high up too, mainly with the Mayfield outbreak.

 

[Kds86z]

Pretty sure this has been the deadliest tornado year since 2011 now, right?

2021 due to the December outbreak.

 

[AJS]

Pretty sure this has been the deadliest tornado year since 2011 now, right?

2023 had 83.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

There's your EF-4 candidate.

 

[Kds86z]

2021 due to the December outbreak.

103 fatalities.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

2023 had 83.

And 2021 had 103. Dang the 2020s have been completely crazy with tornadoes.

 

[Kds86z]

Hope we never see 2011 numbers In our lifetime again..

 

[vemir]

how would the garage affect it's rating?

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

how would the garage affect it's rating?

Attached garages (especially two car) are now seen as a failure point and used to downgrade wind speeds. Which makes logical sense, but is also extremely silly because 90% of houses have attached garages.

Edit: it wasn't facing into the wind, so it may not be downgraded as much, but it really depends on the surveyor.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[N0mz]

drone footage of that marion neighborhood

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

I will say, looking closer at these posts, this is definitely one of the stronger EF5 candidates we've had in quite a while, so maybe I'll save the skepticism until after the surveys are done. I'll have to find some of @Sawmaster's old posts in the EF thread, and repost them there, because he made some really strong points about how a lot of older houses are actually quite a bit sturdier than most newer houses.

 

[Wind Driven Coconut]

Pretty sure this has been the deadliest tornado year since 2011 now, right?

Acknowledging that we’re still in the middle of both search and recovery and an upcoming event, 2025 is currently behind 2012, 2020, 2021, and 2023 as most deadly since 2011.

 

[slenker]

I will say, looking closer at these posts, this is definitely one of the stronger EF5 candidates we've had in quite a while, so maybe I'll save the skepticism until after the surveys are done. I'll have to find some of @Sawmaster's old posts in the EF thread, and repost them there, because he made some really strong points about how a lot of older houses are actually quite a bit sturdier than most newer houses.

I would argue that this isn’t really a strong EF5 candidate yet. If there’s a house thoroughly slabbed with evidence of anchor bolts with good context surrounding it, then I think we can start discussing that. The tree scar through the forest is really impressive though, and despite that not being a viable indicator of EF5 intensity, it at least gives it a very viable shot at an EF4 rating.

There’s quite moderate granulation, but the tree damage and vehicle damage I’ve seen isn’t overly impressive to me. There is one home I saw from earlier posts that’s definitely a solid EF4 candidate, and a surface level look leads me to think that could get a 180+ MPH rating just based on how the slab and debris looks. It doesn’t quite have “the look” that an EF5 would demand though.