Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[MichelleH]

MO not MS. C'mon SPC.

 

[Kds86z]

MO not MS. C'mon SPC.

shoot @MichelleH good catch!

 

[MichelleH]

shoot @MichelleH good catch!

Thanks. Writer and former copy editor.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Little Rock radar, looks quite amazing to say the least, watch this. Lets hope we don't get these later on

 

[Schoeppeya]

Nearly perfectly aligned flow all the way up the column. Ill happily eat crow if I am wrong but I will believe that sounding produces long track sig tors when I see it.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[OH-IOan]

View attachment 41787
Little Rock radar, looks quite amazing to say the least, watch this. Lets hope we don't get these later on

Is that software free? My RadarOmega application has been unable to open on my computer for a few weeks now, and I've been unable to find a free alternative (GR2analyst is >200$!), and WeatherWise is too clunky.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Is that software free? My RadarOmega application has been unable to open on my computer for a few weeks now, and I've been unable to find a free alternative (GR2analyst is >200$!), and WeatherWise is too clunky.

its Supercell Wx, a free/open-souce application I main it over gr2 cuz I am loving these open-source stuff, if on mobile wX is like the best thing one can get, also free

 

[klouzek7079]

Seems like wind and hail will be the primary threat for the current Twatch that is out, but wording is there for a few tornadoes with a couple intense tornadoes possible

 

[OH-IOan]

its Supercell Wx, a free/open-souce application I main it over gr2 cuz I am loving these open-source stuff, if on mobile wX is like the best thing one can get, also free

Great! I'll download it when I get back home.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Tis but a small issue in the very near future in your general area!! Take heed.

 

[TornadoFan]

Arkansas storm already has tops up to 52,000 feet.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

cloud cover has returned to SE MO, not too sure what that entails but someone did say it will effect the event in someway

 

[OH-IOan]

MDT for both tornadoes and intense tornadoes. High for hail.

 

[James Sm.]

60/40 tor probs on that watch

 

[ColdFront]

cloud cover has returned to SE MO, not too sure what that entails but someone did say it will effect the event in someway

I don’t think you’re going to have a shortage of instability today, cloud cover or not. It’s been cloudy here all day and We had that crapvection come through here 45 minutes ago and it’s back to 78 degrees.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

post merge could get ugly, def watch

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

I don’t think you’re going to have a shortage of instability today, cloud cover or not. It’s been cloudy here all day and We had that crapvection come through here 45 minutes ago and it’s back to 78 degrees.

yeah, plus it was clear there for a few hours if memory serves

 

[Atlantic]

How often does a tornado event start THIS early?

 

[DanLarsen34]

The primary limiting factor I see right now in the observed data is the lack of backed surface winds. Because the wind profiles in place right now in close proximity to these supercells are basically unidirectional, especially in Missouri, we're going to see them struggle to produce any kind of tornadoes over the next 2-3 hours barring mesoscale interactions like storm mergers or terrain locally enhancing low-level shear.