Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[JPWX]

There is no mention of upgrade potential in the 1630z outlook.

 

[Ozonelayer]

I don’t see that on day 1..

Thats odd, I got it from this post.

 

[Ozonelayer]

There is no mention of upgrade potential in the 1630z outlook.

Ah ok, that got a bit off the rails there. Back to the topic of the thread.

 

[Kds86z]

Thats odd, I got it from this post.

View attachment 41783

Well someone is posting old screenshots or something lol.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Yall confusing me…. Idk what outlook you’re reading smh lol.

clearly that image isn't from this outlook, what outlook is it even from lol

 

[Ozonelayer]

Well someone is posting old screenshots or something lol.

Maybe they just misclicked because the post tiself mentions something different.

 

[Kds86z]

Moving on…

 

[TornadoFan]

Already got a severe warned t-storm in Arkansas by Clarksville.

 

[klouzek7079]

Moving on…

The air in central MO definitely has that "feel" to it. Very warm and muggy with a slight unnerving breeze. Will be keeping an eye out as the cold front moves in.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Already got a severe warned t-storm in Arkansas by Clarksville.

Via the LZK radar its already got a mid-level meso on it.

 

[tornado examiner]

I know we’re nowhere near the main event starting but that cell in Arkansas already has a defined meso on it.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 41784

Thats concerning considering its nowhere near the best overlap of ingredients yet.

 

[Jbop]

View attachment 41782

This was for previous outlook and isn’t even the mdt risk area. @Ozonelayer @Cyclonic Paracosm

Thompson/Grams.. 05/16/2025 is the new update

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

did a merger occur here?? rot seems to have gotten a tad stronger with each scan

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 41785
did a merger occur here?? rot seems to have gotten a tad stronger with each scan

Yes, that is a merger.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KCweatherboy]

I'm not sure if today will end up being an outbreak, but my gut feeling with looking at this setup is there definitely potential for a few strong/violent tornadoes especially if a cell latches onto that outflow boundary

 

[Kds86z]

I'm not sure if today will end up being an outbreak, but my gut feeling with looking at this setup is there definitely potential for a few strong/violent tornadoes especially if a cell latches onto that outflow boundary

Agree sir.

 

[Kds86z]