Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

[akt1985]

New tornado warning downstream from Randolph County cell for Troup and Heard Counties in Georgia.

 

[Equus]

TDS even deeper, that's an insanely strong couplet.

 

[Brice]

Do yall think this will make into Atlanta proper?

It's very unlikely it will but you still could get impacted by some storms, just maybe not as intense as the supercell on the border

 

[buckeye05]

Do yall think this will make into Atlanta proper?

I'd definitely stay awake and watch the radar, especially if you're in the southern part of the metro.

 

[TornadoFan]

TDS even deeper, that's an insanely strong couplet.

What radar are you looking at?

 

[Equus]

From KFFC.

 

[Brice]

From KFFC.

What does it look like, I don't have much to work with

 

[OHWX97]

What does it look like, I don't have much to work with

Franklin, GA is going to be in a world of hurt if this holds together.

 

[Equus]

Has weakened a bit

 

[Brice]

This thing is completely rain wrapped

 

[OHWX97]

Has weakened a bit

Me thinks it's getting ready to cycle again.

 

[bwalk]

Met Josh Johnson is live streaming on WSFAWEATHER 12 if anyone is interested.

 

[Brice]

Me thinks it's getting ready to cycle again.

Maybe, storm still looks organized

 

[WhirlingWx]

Mesoscale Discussion 0268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1026 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

Areas affected...parts of west-central GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 52...

Valid 260326Z - 260430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 52 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado potential will maximize near the GA/AL border and
eventually spread into the greater Atlanta exurbia through 1230 am
EDT. It is uncertain how far east the higher probabilities for a
tornado will eventually develop due to increasingly marginal
low-level moisture with east extent.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis indicates mid 60s deg F dewpoints
straddling the GA/AL border in west-central GA to the east of a
supercell with a history of producing tornadoes (likely strong) over
east-central AL. The latest RAP/NAM indicate lowest 100 mb mean
mixing ratios increasing into the 13-14 g/kg range over the next
hour with MLCAPE increasing from 750 J/kg to 1000-1200 J/kg. The
KFFC VAD showed 500 m2/s2 0-1km SRH within the moist/sufficiently
unstable airmass. Current thinking is the increasingly rich
low-level moisture (dewpoints rising from 64-65 to 66) may enable a
greater risk for a tornado over the next hour or so.

..Smith.. 03/26/2021

 

[Brice]

Mesoscale Discussion 0268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1026 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

Areas affected...parts of west-central GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 52...

Valid 260326Z - 260430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 52 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado potential will maximize near the GA/AL border and
eventually spread into the greater Atlanta exurbia through 1230 am
EDT. It is uncertain how far east the higher probabilities for a
tornado will eventually develop due to increasingly marginal
low-level moisture with east extent.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis indicates mid 60s deg F dewpoints
straddling the GA/AL border in west-central GA to the east of a
supercell with a history of producing tornadoes (likely strong) over
east-central AL. The latest RAP/NAM indicate lowest 100 mb mean
mixing ratios increasing into the 13-14 g/kg range over the next
hour with MLCAPE increasing from 750 J/kg to 1000-1200 J/kg. The
KFFC VAD showed 500 m2/s2 0-1km SRH within the moist/sufficiently
unstable airmass. Current thinking is the increasingly rich
low-level moisture (dewpoints rising from 64-65 to 66) may enable a
greater risk for a tornado over the next hour or so.

..Smith.. 03/26/2021

Looks like that storm on the state line is going to be one to watch for awhile

 

[buckeye05]

Inflow is also starting to increase with that cell near Cedartown, GA. There were quite a few UH tracks across northern GA on the CAMs. I'm wondering if we see some nocturnal tornado activity in GA overnight.

 

[TornadoFan]

New meso ahead of the old one?

 

[OHWX97]

Definitely cycling.

 

[Tanner]

Definitely cycling. View attachment 7682

Could we call THIS a meso hand-off?

 

[Equus]

Storm near Cave Spring that just crossed into GA is rotating too. Could be interesting couple hours.