Severe WX Severe Threat 17-18 March 2021

[speedbump305]

Hey everyone
Currently at work, how has the event unfolded so far? Have we seen the worst of the tornado activity? I certainly hope so.

It’s been okay. we’ve had reports of EF2+ damage but the tornadoes have caused damage and are expected to continue overnight with the threat of strong-violent tornadoes. It seems like nighttime will be the main event

 

[Richardjacks]

That large area of rain in Central Miss is a bit unexpected, will be interesting to see if it holds together and moves intoAlabama. Could temper severe threat overnight .

 

[speedbump305]

We may wind up with a couple EF4s, but I don't think we've seen any so far based on damage I've seen... unless the EF4 damage just totally missed all towns and buildings. I'd be surprised if we have had more than 1 or 2 EF3s so far.

i agree. i’d definitely think we will get a lot of EF3s and quite a few EF4s. i’d be surprised if we even get an EF5. so far the event definitely hasn’t Atmospheric Anti-Climax

 

[sak]

That large area of rain in Central Miss is a bit unexpected, will be interesting to see if it holds together and moves intoAlabama. Could temper severe threat overnight .

I mean... that's the QLCS. That's the back end of the threat. Once that moves through, we are clear imo.

 

[MikeP]

Pretty hefty bowing segment down around Hattiesburg in MS. Looks like another batch getting it's act together. Edit: Nice line all the way up. Have to wonder how this behaves the next few hrs.....

 

[OHWX97]

Missouri getting in on the action.

 

[Clancy]

Latest run of the HRRR has some nasty-looking stuff developing to the south of what is, presumably, that rain mass, which eventually overtakes the rainy stuff.

 

[JayF]

Tornado Warned Storm south of Springfield Missouri.

 

[akt1985]

Big squall line approaching New Orleans.

 

[sak]

i agree. i’d definitely think we will get a lot of EF3s and quite a few EF4s. i’d be surprised if we even get an EF5. so far the event definitely hasn’t Atmospheric Anti-Climax

not sure i totally agree. i don't think we will get "quite a few EF4s". I think we get 0 or 1 EF4, and about ~5 EF3s tops. But we shall see.

 

[Equus]

Down to 64 here and now with a storm total of 4". It has literally been pouring since noon. Basement flood getting worse and yet more unorganized junk incoming, training over the same area. Definitely could have been worse here but, come on, could this rain have waited until we needed it in August instead of falling in one day?

 

[RollTide18]

That QLCS is hauling

 

[warneagle]

that storm in Missouri is one of the more impressive signatures of the day

 

[speedbump305]

that storm in Missouri is one of the more impressive signatures of the day

jeez. it’s very impressive. are their any towns in the path. i really hope not

 

[TH2002]

Possible TDS with the tornado-warned cell near Springfield MO

 

[speedbump305]

not sure i totally agree. i don't think we will get "quite a few EF4s". I think we get 0 or 1 EF4, and about ~5 EF3s tops. But we shall see.

you probably do have a point. but we don’t know yet. there’s also a moderate risk for tornadoes in another part of the country so the outbreak isn’t done yet

 

[JayF]

jeez. it’s very impressive. are their any towns in the path. i really hope not

It is headed in NNE direction heading directly for Springfield

 

[Tanner]

All things considered, so far so good.

Dozens upon dozens of warnings but very few have been EF2+ based on damage reports so far, and the tornadoes have, for the most part, missed major towns. It seems like recent damage in Chilton County has been the worst of it so far in Alabama.

But that could still change as there are ongoing warnings and still quite a few hours left before the tornado threat diminishes.

People want to act like that guy is trolling but the reality is that really not much has happened back in western parts of the high risk area. In areas where storms have fired and have been rotating, they have not been dropping significant, long-track tornadoes. So far.

Not to say there are no problems or people should let their guard down, but if 12 hours ago someone had told you we'd have this many warnings but this little damage, and no violent long-trackers, I think we would all agree that is a good outcome.

Thank you. Glad nothing too major appears to have happened. I've had a pit in my stomach for about 13 hours now. Hopefully injury reports are minimal as well.

 

[Clancy]

Looks like all Tornado Warnings in Alabama are expired for now.

 

[Jpgood97]

Thankfully the Missouri storm is the only one that is currently tor warned