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Tropical Storm Post-Tropical Cyclone Gert (NO THREAT TO LAND)

Mike S

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Update on the fish

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gert was
located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 72.3 West. Gert is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). This motion should
continue tonight. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in
forward speed is expected late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast and Gert
is expected to become a hurricane tonight.


Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
 

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...GERT BEGINS ITS TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 72.0 West. Gert is moving
toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
through the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. The hurricane is forecast to become a little stronger during
the next day or so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days. Swells are also
expected to affect Bermuda during the next couple of days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...GERT A LITTLE STRONGER AND MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 71.2W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 33.7 North, longitude 71.2 West. Gert is moving
toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and it is
expected to accelerate northeastward over the northwestern Atlantic
Ocean during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected
during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Thursday when
Gert moves over colder water.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days, with the first impacts
expected tonight. Swells are also expected to affect Bermuda
during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...GERT STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT PASSES WELL WEST-NORTHWEST
OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.8N 70.3W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 34.8 North, longitude 70.3 West. Gert is moving
toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with a significant increase in forward speed
during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
tonight and Wednesday. After that, Gert is expected to weaken,
with the cyclone becoming an extratropical low by Thursday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days, with the first impacts
expected tonight. Swells are also expected to affect Bermuda
during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 AM AST Wed Aug 16 2017

...GERT STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.0N 68.4W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM NW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 68.4 West. Gert is moving toward
the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). An even faster
east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
today. After that time, Gert is expected to weaken, and the
cyclone is forecast to become an extratropical low by Thursday
night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from Virginia northward to
New England and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days.
Swells are also expected to continue to affect Bermuda through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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WesL

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Gert getting a little stronger as she runs away. Bye Gert!
 

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 AM AST Wed Aug 16 2017

...GERT ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.4N 65.7W
ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM N OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 37.4 North, longitude 65.7 West. Gert is accelerating
toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h). An even faster motion
toward the northeast or east-northeast is expected through early
Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible later today or tonight, but
Gert is likely to begin weakening on Thursday. Gert should become
an extratropical low by Thursday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from Virginia northward to
New England and Atlantic Canada during the next day or two.
Swells are also expected to continue to affect Bermuda through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Continue reading...
 

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 PM AST Wed Aug 16 2017

...GERT BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.7N 62.4W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 725 MI...1170 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 38.7 North, longitude 62.4 West. Gert is moving
quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). An even faster
motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Thursday,
followed by some deceleration and a turn toward the northeast
Thursday night and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through
tonight, but weakening is forecast to begin on Thursday. Gert
should become an extratropical low by early Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from Virginia northward to
New England and Atlantic Canada during the next day or two.
Swells are also expected to continue to affect Bermuda through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 16 2017

...GERT A LITTLE STRONGER BUT LIKELY TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON OVER
COLDER WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.1N 58.4W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM SE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 40.1 North, longitude 58.4 West. Gert is moving
rapidly toward the east-northeast near 37 mph (59 km/h). An even
faster motion toward the east-northeast is expected through
Thursday, followed by some deceleration and a turn toward the
northeast Thursday night and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. A weakening trend is forecast to begin Thursday morning, and
Gert is likely to lose its tropical characteristics by Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will affect the east coast of
the United States from Virginia northward to New England and
Atlantic Canada through Thursday. Swells are also expected to
continue to affect Bermuda through tonight. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 AM AST Thu Aug 17 2017

...GERT BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS IT RACES TOWARD COLDER WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.7N 54.0W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 525 MI...840 KM ESE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 41.7 North, longitude 54.0 West. Gert is moving
rapidly toward the east-northeast near 39 mph (63 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue today. A slower northeastward to
east-northeastward motion is expected on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Gert is
likely to lose its tropical characteristics by tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will continue to affect the coast
of the northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 AM AST Thu Aug 17 2017

...GERT RACING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.2N 50.0W
ABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM E OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 43.2 North, longitude 50.0 West. Gert is moving toward
the east-northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours. Gert is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone later
today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will continue to affect the coast
of the northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Continue reading...
 

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Gert Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 PM AST Thu Aug 17 2017

...GERT BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.8N 46.0W
ABOUT 860 MI...1390 KM E OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gert
was located near latitude 44.8 North, longitude 46.0 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 39
mph (63 km/h). Gert should move quickly toward the northeast for a
day or so, before slowing and merging with another low pressure
system over the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 36 to 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gert will continue to affect the coast
of the northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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