October 12, 2021 Severe weather threat.

[warneagle]

Looks like it's trying to form a new mesocyclone now. What a fascinating storm.

 

[TornadoFan]

Looks like it's trying to form a new mesocyclone now. What a fascinating storm.

I can see a new hook forming.

 

[TornadoFan]

Goodness that new hook.

 

[OHWX97]

Very tight couplet. Almost certainly back on the ground now.

Edit: CC drop confirms it's down.

 

[TH2002]

It certainly is a very interesting looking supercell.

 

[TornadoFan]

My goodness.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

One interesting thing is; it seems that one concern going into this event based off some of the forecast discussions was that storm motion was expected to be quite fast (50 MPH or more). However, these supercells have only been moving 20-25 MPH according to the warning statements. Obviously a good thing from a public/chaser safety standpoint especially with it being after dark, but I'm curious as to the cause of the discrepancy. Usually in my experience, when forecast storm speeds Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency, they Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency low (storms move faster than anticipated).

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Another thing of note, the supercells of the day have been moving on the southeastern reaches of the Enhanced risk zone (southern/Frederick-Snyder one is now actually within the Slight). The western band of storms has only just started to push into the Moderate/15% hatch zone.

 

[TH2002]

All types of weather going on right now.

 

[TornadoFan]

The northern Oklahoma storm is showing some anticyclonic rotation.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

The northern Oklahoma storm is showing some anticyclonic rotation.

Warnings allowed to expire on it.

 

[TornadoFan]

Dewpoints ahead of the southern storm are in the upper sixties.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Possible LEWP-embedded tornado coming up US 56 toward Copeland, Montezuma, Ensign, and possibly Dodge City, KS. This event striking or at least threatening all the towns I hit on my complete Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency of a two-day chase trip this past May (I sat in Clinton, OK for a few hours the afternoon of the 27th, then eventually made my way to Watonga).

 

[buckeye05]

Copeland, KS is about to be hit by a QLCS tornado.

 

[TH2002]

Weather spotters are now confirming the tornado near Copeland, KS.

 

[TH2002]

Confirmed tornado near Boone, OK as well.

 

[OHWX97]

A chaser took a direct hit from the tornado near Clinton, OK earlier. *Language warning*

 

[OHWX97]

Likely a QLCS tornado about 15 miles west of Dodge City, KS.

Oklahoma cells are falling apart. Tornado warning for the southern one has just been discontinued.

 

[OHWX97]

Big CC drop on another spin up tornado west of Dodge City.

 

[TornadoFan]