Severe WX May 13th-16th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

[Brice]

Enhanced risk for severe weather across the southern plains with supercells developing and then converging into one or two squall lines. A squall line for tomorrow around 7-8 CDT is supposed to fire up. Friday, a marginal risk for OK, TX, KS, MO, and AR.

 

[Bevo]

Interesting setup for tomorrow, with some people in the comments referring to a similar outlook on the same day, 2 years ago (5/15/18).

 

[warneagle]

From snow this weekend to an ENH on Friday. Weird weather week for the northeast.

 

[Bevo]

There's something other than mesoscales to discuss here (as of 9:25 PM CST)...

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

There's something other than mesoscales to discuss here (as of 9:25 PM CST)...

View attachment 3421

...What the H*** is that ****?

 

[Brice]

...What the H*** is that ****?

What was that for?

 

[Brice]

Flooding is gonna be a concern, this system is moving slower than some of the other ones and also producing a lot of rain.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

What was that for?

Pardon me, that was more a reaction to the bizarre lines that are on that graphic.

 

[Bevo]

Pardon me, that was more a reaction to the bizarre lines that are on that graphic.

my guess is that it had something to do with the program they use to draw the lines. It was fixed pretty much immediately so I’m glad I took the screen cap, but even trying to click the mesos at the time was all messed up.

 

[WesL]

my guess is that it had something to do with the program they use to draw the lines. It was fixed pretty much immediately so I’m glad I took the screen cap, but even trying to click the mesos at the time was all messed up.

Just saying... it is 2020

 

[Brice]

You don't see this very often, I know the ingredients are different but, there's a better tornado threat in the Northeast than in Texas and Oklahoma.

 

[Bevo]

I'm a bit curious about this particular scenario, not being super knowledgable about meteorology.
There are currently 3 complexes of storms making their way up to the north Texas area, all of them coming from different directions. What happens when these three independent storm complexes collide? Recent models have shown the SE complex of storms beginning to die off in the next couple of hours, but I don't anticipate this being the case with the N and W two complexes.

 

[Bevo]

Dang, that ended up overperforming I'd say (unless you'd consider 8 "a few" tornadoes). I don't believe any were rated above EF-1 as of yet.

 

[Brice]

This to me look like a mini tornado outbreak.