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Severe WX March 30th- April 1st 2023 (South, Southeast, Ohio Valley, Upper Midwest)

The sun is out HARD here in Florence, NW AL. Biting my nails in anticipation of what's to come tonight based on everything happening today. I have a basement to go to but, being the extremely anxious person I am and seeing all that's happening right now, I'm convinced something bad is going to happen here. Repeat of last Friday or worse. Hope I'm wrong.
 
What in the even is happening here; CC almost looks inverted from what one would expect. Wild.
1680301129389.png
 
cheestaysfly said:
The sun is out HARD here in Florence, NW AL. Biting my nails in anticipation of what's to come tonight based on everything happening today. I have a basement to go to but, being the extremely anxious person I am and seeing all that's happening right now, I'm convinced something bad is going to happen here. Repeat of last Friday or worse. Hope I'm wrong.
Click to expand...
Deep breaths. You know what to do if something is coming. And remember even on crazy days like today the tornado is small in comparison to a town. I get panicky too. It’s perfectly ok to feel anxious.
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0518 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN IOWA...WESTERN ILLINOIS...NORTHEAST
MISSOURI...EXTREME SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 93...

VALID 312218Z - 010015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 93 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADOES, VERY LARGE HAIL AND WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE WILL
BE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PART OF WW 93 OVER THE
NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL EXIST FROM
EASTERN IOWA INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI.

DISCUSSION...THE WSR-88D HIGH-RESOLUTION RADARS IN IOWA AT DES
MOINES AND DAVENPORT SHOW FOUR SEVERE LINE-SEGMENTS ONGOING IN
EASTERN IOWA, WITH SEVERAL TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ONGOING. THESE STORMS
ARE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF A 986 MB SURFACE LOW, ALONG AN
NORTH-TO-SOUTH AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. A 90 TO 110 KNOT
MID-LEVEL JET IS TRANSLATING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AT NEAR 50 KNOTS. THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE
MID-LEVEL JET IS MOVING ACROSS EASTERN IOWA AND WESTERN ILLINOIS,
AND IS CREATING STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND ENHANCED LIFT, FAVORABLE
FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. AHEAD OF THE MID-LEVEL JET, A 50 TO 60 KNOT
LOW-LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS FEATURE WILL MAINTAIN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR VERY
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS INCREASE
0-3 KM STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY INTO THE 400 TO 450 M2/S2 RANGE
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS EARLY THIS SUGGESTING THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL INCREASE THERE. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THE MOST
FAVORABLE CORRIDOR FOR LONG-TRACK HIGH-END TORNADOES WILL BE FROM
EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT, SEVERAL SWATHS OF WIND DAMAGE
WILL BE LIKELY WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. THIS POTENTIAL COULD
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, ESPECIALLY IF THE LINE SEGMENTS
CAN ACCELERATE IN FORWARD SPEED. DUE TO THE STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES, STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND RELATIVELY COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT, SUPERCELLS WILL ALSO LIKELY BE PROLIFIC HAIL PRODUCERS.

..BROYLES.. 03/31/2023

FslNKNUagAE5c5x
 
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