Equus
Member
There we go. Precisely as expected I think.
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Yeah, the Lawrence County F5 didn't really affect many populated areas.Just like 4/16/98, a strong tornado passing through Nashville majorly overshadowed violent damage elsewhere, though I think Cookeville was far more deadly than the 1998 F5
Let’s turn the attention to OHX being slow to warn this going into Putnam County after it dropping a major tornado through a metro area and holding a debris signature over tens of miles.
5 minute lead time for a tornado at 2am? Who can jump up in time from a deep sleep and gather their family and get them to the shelter with a 5 minute lead time? In this case, it appears the case of “little warning” is actually the case. And the death toll of this is a case of a failure by the system that is supposed to prevent this.
They dropped the warning like Equus said because the debris signature went away for a few scans but the meso was still spinning like a top. Given the history of the cell, I think it was a bit irresponsible to drop the warnings.There was only a 5 minute lead time for the Cookeville area? I didn't realize that. Nashville obviously had plenty of warning, but since like most I found out about it yesterday morning, I had assumed the supercell had mostly maintained itself and had TOR warnings all the way as it continued east.
There was a 15-20 minute I think break in tornado warnings between Lebanon and Cookeville when the cell reorganized, it ramped back up with a debris sig in like two frames right before it headed into Cookeville
nws Nashville has officially labeled Putnam county tn tornado ef4, so they upgraded itSource for news of EF4 rating assigned in Cookeville? Not hearing anything.
Archived coverage from WTVF as the tornado hit Nashville and Cookeville.
2 separate. Nashville tornado EF3 165mph. Cookeville tornado EF4 175mph.I'm not clear on this yet... was there one long track tornado that hit Nashville and then went through Cookeville? Or were there 2 separate tornadoes?
Have we even had another day with multiple 165mph+ surveyed tornadoes since June 2014? If not wow. The night of the Nashville tornado was NOT the night I expected that to change.
Right? You'd look for something like that on a day with apocalyptic wording and max-out probabilities for days in advance, like last 5/20.
Someone could probably get a good doctoral dissertation out of this and the Beauregard event.This might be one of the bigger busts by the SPC, just in the opposite direction from what we normally consider a bust. EF-3 going through a major metropolitan area that was in the 2% tornado probabilties area, and an EF-4 that wasn't even in the 2% tornado probabilities.
And to pile on them, apparently the couple small tornadoes that hit in west-central AL Tuesday morning were also outside of the 2% probability area.
This event will be a case study for a long time.