January 23-25th Winter Wx

[Clancy]

Half time report please. I'm a weather enthusiast and not as knowledgeable on the subject as most of you but so far how is this storm playing out relative to predictions in yall's opinons and what's next ? I'm in Madison, Ms and we've been having light rain and 35 degrees for abot 4 hours now.

Not really expecting much your way until well into the night, through Sunday morning.

 

[TVILLE96]

Im in almost 2 ft of snow, wowza.

Will this shut down Pa or will things keep moving? I have many co-workers up there.

 

[cincywx]

I know we're focused on the ice but if these hi-res runs are true Cincinnati is going to have record 24 hour snow totals. I moved from Cleveland to get away from this stuff

i'm trying not to get too excited til the first flakes start flying and i can get a better real-time grip on the situation. with that said, most of the 18z guidance favors the i-71 corridor for some of the highest snow totals. ILN seems to agree:

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the signs are certainly there that this could be historic for the cincinnati area.

 

[Timbertrader]

Not really expecting much your way until well into the night, through Sunday morning.
View attachment 50307

Thanks. How about the storm as a whole ? Any major adjustments in your thinking ?

 

[Kds86z]

 

[StormStalker]

29 degrees now with ice icicles forming on metal edges. Glaze exposed surfaces.

 

[Clancy]

Thanks. How about the storm as a whole ? Any major adjustments in your thinking ?

Far from experienced with winter storms, but thus far not really seeing any huge deviations from general forecast.

 

[Baxter]

Rain is going to start exploding over GA very soon. Temps will crash in Metro Atlanta. Current DP is 16.

 

[warneagle]

I hate snow but I'll take more snow if it means less ice

 

[MichelleH]

I will say the temp near my house has dropped from 41 to 36, and it seems to be dropping rather quickly as the precip starts to move in.

Yep. I'm worried it's going to get much colder than expected and we're going to have a problem.

 

[Clancy]

Yep. I'm worried it's going to get much colder than expected and we're going to have a problem.

Latest mesoanalysis shows the freezing line being almost stationary, maybe even advancing a little bit in Alabama compared to 2 hours ago. It should start retreating northwestward as WAA streams in, but it may be more stubborn than modelled.

 

[Equus]

Was 39 earlier, back down to 35 now

 

[Chris3024]

I've got a question. If the CAD is not as strong as forecast in some models, could that be causing the warm air to not be forced as northwestward as though?

 

[akt1985]

Could NWS Huntsville have to upgrade parts of their CWA to a Winter Storm Warning for a few hours?

 

[cniemczura]

i'm trying not to get too excited til the first flakes start flying and i can get a better real-time grip on the situation. with that said, most of the 18z guidance favors the i-71 corridor for some of the highest snow totals. ILN seems to agree:

View attachment 50306
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the signs are certainly there that this could be historic for the cincinnati area.

What are the things that would be required for the totals to max out? What about underperform?

I saw Brandon Copic is planning on covering inbetween the 75 and 71 cooridor.

 

[Equus]

34 now with a decently heavy rain. Closer than I figured that things would get today

 

[Equus]

30 in Haleyville and 32 in Winfield as per observation sites, definitely glad the winter weather advisory is retained... just in case

 

[Blountwolf]

Quick update - check out the wedge. Magenta is air temp 32 line, blue is 32 degree wet bulb, and green is 32 degree dewpoint. Notice how the dewpoint line takes a nose dive in east AL. Drier air from the high being pushed in and meeting the moisture, which will cause evap cooling. A fascinating evening for weather nerds.

 

[Equus]

We don't get to see the super neat intricacies of winter weather meteorology all too often around here, it's so cool to watch

 

[MikeP]

Balmy 45 degrees IMY....