Hurricane Ida

[akt1985]

Right now it’s looking like Ida will make landfall near where Betsy made landfall in 1965.

 

[TornadoFan]

Looks like a recon flight just took off from San Antonio.

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[TornadoFan]

Ida is still a category 2 hurricane as of the 11 PM update.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

 

[Jacob]

Really don't like the satellite trends over the last hour, she looks like she's getting ready to really get her act together.

 

[TH2002]

I have to wonder if we'll see a reverse Katrina and instead of the storm weakening just before landfall, we see intensification just before landfall.

 

[bjdeming]

Let's not forget eyewall replacement cycles.

Since the Loop Current isn't going to disappear and I didn't see mention of dry air in the 10 p.m. discussion, maybe that's the main hope now for weakening around landfall?

Those outer bands sure do seem to like the northeastern Gulf coastal environment, though.

 

[TornadoFan]

Nope, don't like that.

 

[Fred Gossage]

Let's not forget eyewall replacement cycles.

Since the Loop Current isn't going to disappear and I didn't see mention of dry air in the 10 p.m. discussion, maybe that's the main hope now for weakening around landfall?

Those outer bands sure do seem to like the northeastern Gulf coastal environment, though.

Even with a smaller eye that is much less stable than what we have, it takes too long for the stable phase after rapid intensification ends for us to fit an ERC into the timeline prior to landfall.

 

[Kory]

I think Hurricane Betsy is a great analog. It was the storm of my grandparents generation and the bench mark all other storms were measured against...until Hurricane Katrina.

 

[Kory]

Completely different situation than Hurricane Katrina though. The lake will be pushed onto the Northshore. Its the West Bank I am worried about surge wise...a place that only suffered wind damage and very minor flooding during Katrina. New Orleans hasn't seen a wind storm like this in a long time...

 

[Kory]

The heart and soul of Louisiana will take a hammering tomorrow. My heart goes out to my home state and home town. I'm hoping and praying for the best, but expecting the worst. We've been through this before and we'll pick up and move on. Much like right before Katrina, I distinctly remember my parents taking a look around the neighborhood and making the remark, "remember what it looks like...because it is going to be changed forever." Boy was that true. A lot of small towns that embody Louisiana will be experiencing that tomorrow. I won't sleep easy tonight. Just want this all over.

 

[TornadoFan]

Recon aircraft just entered Ida....

 

[TornadoFan]

I'd say Ida is rapidly deepening.

 

[KoD]

I'd say Ida is rapidly deepening.
View attachment 10233

Oh wow ...

Matches the look on satellite, unfortunately it appears very healthy.

 

[TornadoFan]

Look at the windfield.

 

[TornadoFan]

We now have major hurricane Ida.

 

[Evan]

Holy crap at that last recon pass. What in the world???

 

[gangstonc]

Holy crap at that last recon pass. What in the world???

May already be a cat 4

 

[Matt Grantham]

The sh*t is hitting the fan.