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Hurricane Hurricane Francine

TornadoFan said:
She's really trying hard to fight off the dry air on her east side
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I'm not seeing that. I'm seeing a waning level of convection on the east side, which is not uncommon for growing storms as they wrap up moisture.
Furthermore, recon supports a very moist atmosphere at all level of the storm.
If anything, dry air would be coming from the west side, later.
 
Francine is a little too close to land and sucking in dry air at the mid levels. Still looks like some strengthening is imminent though with it mixing that out.
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Everyone is buzzing about the newest model guidance. Eastward shift on track forecast, which, if verified, could increase impacts for more of us in the South.
 
I posted yesterday that New Orleans shouldn't let its guard down. It now appears possible that they could see the core of the hurricane and perhaps even the eastern eyewall. If the east trends continue, it's likely that New Orleans would be affected by the eyewall.
 
Given the track now, this will give Northeast MS it's most significant tropical impact (rain, wind, tornadoes, etc.) since Katrina. It's been that long. Now, from a wind alone standpoint, that would be since Olga 2019
 
Pulling away from the coast is helping Francine wrap moisture better, but there's still a lot of very dry air at low and mid levels to mix out. I think she's got some serious upper limits on what she'll be able to do. Hoping to be right on that - still a lot of time for mischief over very hot waters.

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Is there going to be a thread made for inland impacts or will this be the only thread wrapped into one for inland and coastal? Because I imagine spin ups will be a issue inland into Alabama and parts of Mississippi.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
Is there going to be a thread made for inland impacts or will this be the only thread wrapped into one for inland and coastal? Because I imagine spin ups will be a issue inland into Alabama and parts of Mississippi.
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I'm thinking everything about Francine should remain in this thread but I'm not the one who decides
 
JPWX said:
I'm thinking everything about Francine should remain in this thread but I'm not the one who decides
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What'd we do with Beryl? I want to say we had most of the posts in the annual severe thread, but I can't remember.
 
Also, tropical advisories extending pretty deep inland, especially in MS, ahead of Francine.

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Clancy said:
What'd we do with Beryl? I want to say we had most of the posts in the annual severe thread, but I can't remember.
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Yeah I can't remember either
 
Reed and others are calling for a major tornado outbreak on the east / northeast side of the storm (including New Orleans, gulf coast MS/AL and parts of Florida as well).

Shear is going to be insane, even higher than typical landfalling hurricane. Tornado outbreak might be the main story with Francine.
 
Some new attempts at convection just now roughly around the center. Francine may attempt to undergo some intensification as she starts to move northeastward, away from land, though when and how much still seems a bit uncertain, and I'm not particularly confident in any one strength-wise outcome yet. Dry air remains a factor for now.
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