Hurricane Hurricane Francine

[KoD]

Expected to become a hurricane in the western gulf and projected to travel NNE until landfall around Wednesday.

 

[Clancy]

Eyewall developing.

 

[jiharris0220]

Center relocation 101 with the sudden vertical alignment and steep pressure drop and placement in deepest convention.

I’d expect a halted or slower intensification rate until rotating vertical hot towers make themselves known.

 

[slenker]

Center relocation 101 with the sudden vertical alignment and steep pressure drop and placement in deepest convention.

I’d expect a halted or slower intensification rate until rotating vertical hot towers make themselves known.

Once it has everything figured out, I expect RI to take place. Ocean heat content is quite significant out in front of this thing.

 

[lake.effect]

I think the ceiling on Francine is quite high, although some issues around hour 36 might hinder further strengthening. Would not at all be surprised to see Francine become a cat 2/3.

Tricky forecast. Anyone near coastal LA should be preparing for a cat 3 and hoping for a cat 1.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Blountwolf]

Certainly got that spiral look in a hurry - the next convection bursts should be interesting.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Clancy]

60 MPH at 2 PM Eastern.

 

[South AL Wx]

Up to 65 mph now. Forecast to peak at 100 mph (category 2). Hurricane Warning now in effect for portions of the Louisiana coast.

 

[slenker]

What’s the possibility that this thing pulls a Harvey and blows up really quickly? With conditions being pretty ripe in that area of the Gulf, I’m getting more and more worried.

 

[Clancy]

Wowsers.

 

[GeneralChow]

Up to 65 mph now. Forecast to peak at 100 mph (category 2). Hurricane Warning now in effect for portions of the Louisiana coast.

Yep. The trends are pretty apparent. The system is organizing faster than models anticipated. Category 2 with a shot at 3 was my call this Morning. Incredibly interesting Storm ATM. It's got 30 hours to really get cranking. The environment becomes erratic as the trough approaches, and the Windfield is probably going to expand.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[wx_guy]

This is our first real chance to test out the new experimental cone. I must say I like it, but it does seem a bit busy.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

What’s the possibility that this thing pulls a Harvey and blows up really quickly? With conditions being pretty ripe in that area of the Gulf, I’m getting more and more worried.

I certainly hope not, considering I'm right in the bullseye for it.

 

[Clancy]

This is our first real chance to test out the new experimental cone. I must say I like it, but it does seem a bit busy.

View attachment 29792

Busy but much happier to see the actual inland extent of warnings and watches, always was a pet peeve that it was coastal only on graphics.

 

[lake.effect]

Side note - it's quite rare to have an early developing hurricane well within range of a US radar site. It's pretty cool (not to mention extremely useful) to watch the storm evolve on Brownsville radar.

 

[TornadoFan]

She's really trying hard to fight off the dry air on her east side