• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Houston Metro Severe Weather Threat May 6, 2025.

I don’t know what it is, but I just have this feeling something is going to happen in my area. I’m quite nervous because we’re overdue for a tornado outbreak i’d say.
 
I'm not trying to write off any threats, but it seems like every time LLLRs are a concern, it feels like nothing really ends up occurring. Which is good. I'm not super sold on the strong tornado threat today, but airing on the side of caution is probably best for these watches/warnings with the kinematics in place. I hope I don't eat my words later.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
Latest HRRR is very nasty for East Texas and West Lousianna starting in about a hour or two. FWIW

View attachment 41022
Click to expand...
I've gotten the impression the HRRR struggles to adapt to current conditions when the event is well underway. That's why I start using the SPC tools once storms start firing. Even that was struggling on April 28th, though. They were showing 90% significant tornado probabilities, and the violent tornado parameters were at 11 for areas with isolated supercells that never ended up producing anything.
 
slenker said:
I'm not trying to write off any threats, but it seems like every time LLLRs are a concern, it feels like nothing really ends up occurring. Which is good. I'm not super sold on the strong tornado threat today, but airing on the side of caution is probably best for these watches/warnings with the kinematics in place. I hope I don't eat my words later.
Click to expand...
I will say, the fact a storm produced a tornado in a non favorable environment is concerning.
 
Grand Poo Bah said:
I've gotten the impression the HRRR struggles to adapt to current conditions when the event is well underway. That's why I start using the SPC tools once storms start firing. Even that was struggling on April 28th, though. They were showing 90% significant tornado probabilities, and the violent tornado parameters were at 11 for areas with isolated supercells that never ended up producing anything.
Click to expand...
I like using the HRRR for simulated radar during a event. What got me to use it even close to events is how it predicted some of the supercells that started rotating near west blocton in Alabama on March 15th. Almost on the dot, everybody thought things where done and I was like hold up. The HRRR shows some significant storms to start rotating near there in a hour or two. And lo and behold it happened lol.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top