- Moderator
- #1
Thread for Invest 92L.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Former Invest 92L Carolinas
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
- Start date
-
- Tags
- tropical
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #2
We are going to have to watch this one closely as it looks to have the best shot at a US landfall.
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #4
The CMC forecast strengthening in an environment characterized by unfavorably dry air, and shear. That's baloney! Just maybe depending on how well it holds up similar to 99L that eventually became Gert, it could develop when it gets closer to the U.S. Noted on some CMC, EURO, and GFS ensembles.
presteezywx
Member
We'll see how 92L handles this shear overnight.
stormcentral
Member
Now code red. Development up to 70%
- Admin
- #7
- Messages
- 3,499
- Reaction score
- 3,002
- Location
- Fayetteville, AR
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
MattW
Member
- Messages
- 367
- Reaction score
- 324
- Location
- Decatur, GA
- HAM Callsign
- KG4GUF
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
The gulf? Uh...I'm no expert, but only one of those model tracks actually approaches the gulf...what am I missing?
- Admin
- #9
- Messages
- 2,271
- Reaction score
- 1,836
- Location
- Meridianville, Al
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Just one model showing a Gulf impact out of several that curve up the east coast. i.e., it is an outlier. Obviously things could change and JP qualifies his statement by saying "less likely"(unlike one of his competitors who likes to make definitive statements on things like this many days ahead of time).
- Admin
- #10
- Messages
- 3,499
- Reaction score
- 3,002
- Location
- Fayetteville, AR
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Invest 92L is back in the Atlantic and is now upgraded to Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten. Expected to become Irma soon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 80.7W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 80.7W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
- Admin
- #11
Removed Sticky Since this was removed from the NHC page.
- Admin
- #12
Hurricane Force Winds in this storm. 