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Severe WX December 10 & 11, 2021 Severe Threat

Did I miss something? I thought 190 was preliminary?
 
Totally unscientific, but I can’t remember a single preliminary 190 MPH that has ever been upgraded further. I view it as a bad omen at this point. But yeah technically it is preliminary, even though I think no major changes will occur given past experiences:
 
Tanner M Levasseur said:
I expect them to upgrade some. Bowling Green, Western Kentucky, etc. Realize all the work that these engineers and surveyors need to do amidst all this damage. It's not as simple as writing down "EF4" on a sheet. There needs to be a certain set of eyes and a level of profession applied to these ratings, and it's a hell of a process to go through. Be patient just a little longer.
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Agree 100%, let's hope the professionals discuss and rate after reviewing all the data and DI. As stated by NWS Paducah this was "historic" + plus accepted assistance, which lends me to believe that they will ultimately rate Western KY an EF5 in due time. As much as 5 days is a long time to wait, it is much longer to those impacted.
 
buckeye05 said:
Totally unscientific, but I can’t remember a single preliminary 190 MPH that has ever been upgraded further. I view it as a bad omen at this point. But yeah technically it is preliminary, even though I think no major changes will occur given past experiences:
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There are way more contextual (and perhaps residential) indicators than any prelim 190mph EF4 that I can ever remember. I trust that it is preliminary and that surveys are not even close to done. If it stays at what it is, then I will have to hop on the idea of that being BS. However, until I see "OFFICIAL" on a survey I won't sweat it. Nor should you or anyone else.
 
Tanner M Levasseur said:
There are way more contextual (and perhaps residential) indicators than any prelim 190mph EF4 that I can ever remember. I trust that it is preliminary and that surveys are not even close to done. If it stays at what it is, then I will have to hop on the idea of that being BS. However, until I see "OFFICIAL" on a survey I won't sweat it. Nor should you or anyone else.
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I find it kind of sad that seeing a tornado being rated high-end EF4. I remember the days when the FUJITA-SCALE was about to be replaced with the EF-SCALE and surveys were particularly brutal back then. I however think this tornado definitely deserves an EF5 rating.
 
SilentShadow87 said:
Not comparing the event in general to 4/27, but I think that was the last day when there was more than one tornado with a path that long.
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123 miles was even longer than Cordova or arguablely Hackleburg according to Tornadotalk yet such a historic tornado was largely ignored on that day.
 
If I don't have anything nice to say I shouldn't say it at all, so regarding the surveys and conclusions, suffice to say I'm not gonna say anything at all right now
 
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I think this confirms it...
 
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