Tropical Storm Cristobal

[Taylor Campbell]

Tropical Depression Three has formed and expected to become a named storm.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

This is looking more and more like a northern Gulf coast US land falling hurricane.

 

[Weatherphreak]

Houston looks to be in the bullseye. Thankfully Euro doesn’t have it sticking around like past storms that caused historic flooding.

 

[Mike S]

wide cone and looking like Louisiana, but Galveston Bay to the Florida panhandle is in play.

 

[South AL Wx]

We now have Tropical Storm Cristobal. From NHC:

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

Observations from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that Tropical Depression Three has strengthened
into Tropical Storm Cristobal. The maximum winds are estimated to
be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

 

[MattW]

I wouldn't trust the wind cone yet, the models are still all over the place. I wouldn't put much stock in anything until after it's turned back north.

 

[WesL]

Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
700 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS CRISTOBAL A LITTLE STRONGER...
...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 92.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM NW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 170 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

 

[WesL]

Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

...CRISTOBAL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 91.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

 

[JayF]

I believe that it is going to move a little further east but not a ton. I would say it is going to brush New Orleans to its west and come straight up MS.

 

[WesL]

I believe that it is going to move a little further east but not a ton. I would say it is going to brush New Orleans to its west and come straight up MS.

See I was thinking maybe more west looking at some of the model guidance. Either way glad I don't live down there.

 

[WesL]

Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TOMORROW NIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 90.8W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

 

[gangstonc]

Is there expected to be any severe weather inland?

 

[warneagle]

Is there expected to be any severe weather inland?

Day 3 Marginal on the coast, I guess we'll see about Monday. Flooding is a much bigger concern though.

 

[WesL]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020

...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 89.7W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for areas outside the
Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the mouth of
the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi, including Lake
Borgne.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast from east of Morgan City, Louisiana to the
Okaloosa/Walton County Florida line.

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended west of Grand Isle to east
of Morgan City Louisiana.

 

[WesL]

Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

...OUTER RAINBANDS OF CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 90.2W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

 

[bjdeming]

 

[akt1985]

The good thing about Cristobal is that the northern Gulf Coast is in a drought and should get some beneficial rain out of this system.

 

[warneagle]

It’s generating some spin-ups now.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

Lakeshore Drive in New Orleans is swamped.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

Flooding on US Highway 90 in Long Beach, MS. Nobody should not be out driving right now.