Severe WX April 3-6 Severe weather

[Kds86z]

The tornado/severe threat should gradually increase throughout the afternoon. The STP is very high along the warm front btw

How long will storms last before they crossover? Hmm

 

[MMWX]

70/40 on the new tornado watch by the way.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Already had a tornado in Clinton County, KY at 10:12 AM CDT per the SPC LSR page.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Heavily dislike those two storms near Pine Bluff and De Witt, AR. Don't know what they'll do but they have potential.

 

[Schoeppeya]

Several storms taking on supercell structure already including one moving towards Memphis

 

[Maxis_s]

Heavily dislike those two storms near Pine Bluff and De Witt, AR. Don't know what they'll do but they have potential.

They seem to be very elevated. Warm front is staying pretty south right now.

 

[WhirlingWx]

Posting this thread I found on tomorrow's threat:

 

[Ozonelayer]

They seem to be very elevated. Warm front is staying pretty south right now.

Didn't realize that, thanks man!

 

[MMWX]

I wouldn't put too much stock into anything that develops to the north of the stationary front.

 

[Maxis_s]

Not sure how I feel about today's threat. It doesn't look like the warm front will advance northward much so any tornado potential will remain just south of it.

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

I know I always ask this but what is the forecast for the north DFW metroplex area? Like Collin County. Are we included in the severe tornado potential, or no?

 

[cg9450]

View attachment 38900
Not sure how I feel about today's threat. It doesn't look like the warm front will advance northward much so any tornado potential will remain just south of it.

As a middle Tennessean, I do not need this right now lmao

 

[ColdFront]

I know I always ask this but what is the forecast for the north DFW metroplex area? Like Collin County. Are we included in the severe tornado potential, or no?

I think you’d do best to listen to your local NWS WFO or if you have a trustworthy local tv meteorologist. They will be able to keep you more informed for your area than us

 

[Clancy]

Man, Arkansas is just having a horrible couple of days. While today's convective evolution is in question, this basically depicts continuous tornadic activity somewhere across the South starting this afternoon lasting through at least early Saturday.

 

[Clancy]

I know I always ask this but what is the forecast for the north DFW metroplex area? Like Collin County. Are we included in the severe tornado potential, or no?

If you're wanting a more detailed breakdown of the forecast, local offices' Area Forecast Discussions are a really good place to start. The Dallas office's AFD can be found here: https://forecast.weather.gov/produc...WD&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

If you're wanting a more detailed breakdown of the forecast, local offices' Area Forecast Discussions are a really good place to start. The Dallas office's AFD can be found here: https://forecast.weather.gov/produc...WD&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Thanks!

 

[Clancy]

Very clear that anything that develops in northern Louisiana could become dangerous. Question is if anything develops there at all. Looks like there may be a little capping happening, but it's in a belt of very strong kinematics, so, if anything gets going, it has plenty of fuel and room.

 

[KevinH]

Welcome to the beginning of a very historic outbreak sequence. It’s gonna be a long rest of the week

I think that may be a bit much lol

 

[Kds86z]

 

[tornado examiner]

I think that may be a bit much lol

Why is that a bit much?