Severe WX April 3-6 Severe weather

[UncleJuJu98]

 

[ColdFront]

View attachment 38864
I'll repost this 12z SHV observed sounding I guess.
This sounding isn't even a loaded gun, there's barely any capping already.

That’s enough of a cap to lid things off for the moment. Those LLLRs are extremely weak

 

[Kds86z]

2 tornado warned storms in Ky with funnel clouds

 

[Maxis_s]

Can we not?

 

[tornado examiner]

View attachment 38866
Can we not?

Largest outbreak sequence since 2019 anyone?

 

[Clancy]

A lot of severe weather still to come. For Alabama and Georgia folks, Sunday may be a pretty substantial event, but it's too hard to tell for now. CIPS analogs are very strong, however, for all hazards, including tornadoes, some potentially significant. Moisture will definitely not be a problem, and instability will likely be sufficient, and kinematics will likely be strong in the present of a positive-tilt trough.

 

[TheSuckZone]

Today



Friday



Arkansas really going through it right now

 

[tornado examiner]

Will this be Arkansas’s worst tornado year on record? Idk.

 

[Ledian]

Is anyone else seeing that the Memphis radar, while not showing as down, isn't working properly?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Is there any talk about upgrading to moderate for tornadoes? HRRR has looked pretty bad.

 

[Kds86z]

Is there any talk about upgrading to moderate for tornadoes? HRRR has looked pretty bad.

Dang ..last outlook they said conditional @UncleJuJu98 if storms sfc based

 

[Schoeppeya]

Is there any talk about upgrading to moderate for tornadoes? HRRR has looked pretty bad.

Yeah 14z run had an absolutely monstrous helicity streak across southern AR

 

[Jacob Aden]

Is anyone else seeing that the Memphis radar, while not showing as down, isn't working properly?

Been doing that since last night, not sure what issues they are having.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Yeah 14z run had an absolutely monstrous helicity streak across southern AR

View attachment 38877

Focal point is the warm front. Yikes

 

[Clancy]

Focal point is the warm front. Yikes

If they issue the moderate, it'll be the thinnest one ever /s

 

[Maxis_s]

Today



Friday



Arkansas really going through it right now

Interested in what their 2020 models say. It had a 60% bullseye area exactly where the two violent tornadoes occurred last night near the MS/TN border, so perhaps it'll have a bullseye area for today.

 

[Maxis_s]

If they issue the moderate, it'll be the thinnest one ever /s

Thinnest high risk ever followed by the thinnest moderate risk ever

 

[warneagle]

Is anyone else seeing that the Memphis radar, while not showing as down, isn't working properly?

It was really janky last night too. Like the data was really junky/corrupted for some reason. I'm not a smart technology person so I can't explain why but it's not just you.

 

[Maxis_s]

It was really janky last night too. Like the data was really junky/corrupted for some reason. I'm not a smart technology person so I can't explain why but it's not just you.

The returns looked fine to me but a lot of the data was delayed or never properly downloaded on GR2. May have been an issue with the Iowa State servers that provide the radar files.

 

[Kds86z]