Severe WX April 3-6 Severe weather

[CheeselandSkies]

Uh oh, it's hitting the suds @UncleJuJu98

 

[wx_guy]

Here's the mesoanalysis environment for that Hot Springs storm:



Very favorable environment, except lower on the Shear. Wonder if the storm's core can overcome that weakness. The bar plots shown are EF2+ tornadoes only.

 

[Keldeo]

 

[Maxis_s]

Not sure how likely it is to ride the boundary. Does anyone here more knowledgeable than me have an answer to whether that's a likelihood or not?

 

[jiharris0220]

Not sure how likely it is to ride the boundary. Does anyone here more knowledgeable than me have an answer to whether that's a likelihood or not?

It would have to rapidly intensify in able to bunker right (get steered more by the mid/upper level flow, which is moving northeastward.)

 

[Muwx]

Not sure how likely it is to ride the boundary. Does anyone here more knowledgeable than me have an answer to whether that's a likelihood or not?

It would have to make almost a 45 degree turn within about 15-25 miles. Not impossible, but fairly unlikely. Storms in Arkansas are likely to continue to struggle given current storm motions of OWS activity in the state. We will see if that changes, but for now, the main show continues to be the storms coming out of Texas and Oklahoma.

 

[Keldeo]

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Won’t beat last year at #2 in history

March 2022 had 234 tornadoes and March 2025 has 221 so far.

 

[wx_guy]

Hmm...curiously, despite a pristine environment, both the fledgling cells to the south and the open cell near Hot Springs are not ooking very healthy currently. Hmm...

 

[Kds86z]

That Arkansas storm on Halls stream…

 

[Maxis_s]

Tornado likely on the ground just west of Hawkins, TX!

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Looks like a debris ball on cc near Hawkins texas

 

[Kds86z]

March 2022 had 234 tornadoes and March 2025 has 221 so far.

I know. I meant annual.

 

[Kds86z]

Hmm...curiously, despite a pristine environment, both the fledgling cells to the south and the open cell near Hot Springs are looking very healthy currently. Hmm...

Huh?

 

[SmokeEater]

Brandon Copic has a very large ground scraping wall cloud on a non severe cell NW of Tuckerman, AR.

 

[wx_guy]

Huh?

Forgot a "not" lol

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[TornadoFan]

Corey Gerkens storm looks really impressive.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

A impressive wall cloud on Ryan hall stream. He's got it in the top left.

 

[Maxis_s]

Hawkins, TX rotation is really ramping up. I think it dropped a brief tornado and now it's trying to organize to drop an absolute monster.