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Severe WX April 29-May 2nd, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

SouthFLwx said:
The parameters are that favorable?
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SPC is already mentioning the possibility for strong tornadoes on Monday. My big concern is that models are currently forecasting moisture returns to be most impressive than yesterday. This could improve thermodynamic support and potentially allow for more sustained supercell activity. A lot of the storms yesterday were initially higher based, causing them to struggle to drop tornadoes until later in the evening. That won't be an issue on Monday if current forecast models verify, but things do change and we'll have to wait and see how things evolve during the coming days.
 
OHWX97 said:
SPC is already mentioning the possibility for strong tornadoes on Monday. My big concern is that models are currently forecasting moisture returns to be most impressive than yesterday. This could improve thermodynamic support and potentially allow for sustained supercell activity. A lot of the storms yesterday were initially higher based, causing them to struggle to drop tornadoes until later in the evening. That won't be an issue on Monday if current forecast models verify, but things do change and we'll have to wait and see how things evolve of the coming days.
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And higher moisture will make these storms more on the lower based sized, what you need for big wedges.
 
Brice Wood said:
And higher moisture will make these storms more on the lower based sized, what you need for big wedges.
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Yep. That's exactly what's got me concerned.
pohnpei said:
Some severe contextual damage from Andover tornado
View attachment 13702View attachment 13703View attachment 13704View attachment 13705View attachment 13706
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A lot of impressive contextual damage at the YMCA. In addition, I noticed @eric11 share a screenshot on Twitter of a fire hydrant that was ripped from the ground near the entrance.
FRmTlqnVcAEmJAC.jpg
 
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Looks like there were at least two tornadoes spawned by the cell as it became PDS warned near Rosalia. Never noted seeing much on CC, but these tornadoes were likely strong to intense. Photos by Greg McLaughlin, of note is that Jeff Piotrowski was on this cell too, so it will be interesting to see what he has to share.
FRkDKMPWYAIs-MF

FRkDKtQXwAA91iy
 
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