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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

Evan said:
From what I could tell, it was pushing them a bit more north than its current/historical track. Were you seeing the same? When I was extrapolating the path earlier it was definitely getting too close to populated areas in N Central Alabama if the current movement continues.
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Yeah looked like it was a touch too much northerly component. I can see these becoming a large problem for those along and south of 20/59 in Western AL. But, it's got a lot of real estate ahead of it in Mississippi first.
 
0-1km SRH in the area near those two supercells is 400-450 m2s2. No reason these can't keep going for a long time.
 
Kory said:
Yeah looked like it was a touch too much northerly component. I can see these becoming a large problem for those along and south of 20/59 in Western AL. But, it's got a lot of real estate ahead of it in Mississippi first.
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a LOT of RE to go, and even minor deviations in track now can have huge implications 200 miles down stream.
 
If I lived in Quitman I'd be finding the best way to get COMPLETELY underground as soon as humanly possible.
 
Brad arnold has it live on his stream. It's a mile wide violent tornado. You can see the entire meso rotating.

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Breezy said:
a LOT of RE to go, and even minor deviations in track now can have huge implications 200 miles down stream.
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Yep. That's what I'm very thankful for currently. Tiny movements lead to huge location changes down the road. My concern is the micro tornado alleys in W/N Central Alabama. Historically tornadoes have a habit of finding themselves going through the same areas.
 
So this is a ridiculous sensory overload. Glad the northern Walker circulation died out at least
 
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