Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

LCLs are definitely causing issues for the open warm sector stuff. Didn't think there was any chance of reaching 90 near Memphis today, but it turns out the HRRR was right. Really need those to come down a bit or this might be done tornado wise.
 
I don’t want to be that guy, but the area around KNQA in Memphis and to the south is getting increasingly cramped by additional convection. You have to wonder if those storms will merge and line out before any of them even sniff the favorable lower LCLs up north

View attachment 38514
Doubt that
 
  • Like
Reactions: AJS
LCLs and SRH at the lowest levels that isn't quite as strong as you might like to see are, together, probably contributing to the limited tornadogenesis of these storms at the moment, which is really good news because, well:
1743628904630.png

Hoping this trend doesn't change.
 
I don’t want to be that guy, but the area around KNQA in Memphis and to the south is getting increasingly cramped by additional convection. You have to wonder if those storms will merge and line out before any of them even sniff the favorable lower LCLs up north

View attachment 38514
I actually think it looks a little cleaner off NQA. Some of the cells that are weaker are dying or being absorbed by stronger updrafts. But this could change. LCLs are 1000-1250m which isn't sky high, but isn't as ideal. And we have a confirmed TOR in that environment near Mercer, TN now. VWP from NQA has good low level shear/SRH for ingestion.
 
Back
Top