Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[MMWX]

I've been super busy for the past 4-5 days so I haven't been able to keep up as much as I've hoped to with the weather setup for the past couple of days and into the next couple of days.

I know that tornadoes get all the attention, but flooding kills the most people in the United States out of all the hazards. NWS Memphis casually dropped that "generational flooding" could occur in the Mid-South on Wednesday.

 

[Kds86z]

Probably another stupid question, but what exactly is convection initiation?

No stupid questions when comes to weather my dude @AJS

 

[AJS]

No stupid questions when comes to weather my dude @AJS

Much appreciated my man!

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Kds86z]

Much appreciated my man!

And @AJS if you see “CI” mentioned in forecast discussions or by chasers etc, that means convective initiation. Means you got storm clouds going up up and away! Lol

 

[Kds86z]

Much appreciated my man!

CB means cumulonimbus clouds. @AJS

 

[Kds86z]

Also nice to know another dude from Wichita Falls! Such an underrated city to visit and live in.

Never been @AJS . My buddy and his wife just moved there though. I told him about the famous 1979 f5. lol

 

[AJS]

Never been @AJS . My buddy and his wife just moved there though. I told him about the famous 1979 f5. lol

*F4! The F5 occurred in 1964 if I recall!

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

I've been super busy for the past 4-5 days so I haven't been able to keep up as much as I've hoped to with the weather setup for the past couple of days and into the next couple of days.

I know that tornadoes get all the attention, but flooding kills the most people in the United States out of all the hazards. NWS Memphis casually dropped that "generational flooding" can occur in the Mid-South on Wednesday.

Models slowly trending axis heaviest rain nw of Memphis

 

[Kds86z]

*F4! The F5 occurred in 1964 if I recall!

Oh yeah man you are correct @AJS

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

RRFS is back lmaooooooooooooooooooo

 

[AJS]

RRFS is back lmaooooooooooooooooooo

What’s it showing?

 

[andyhb]

Major tornado outbreak with numerous supercells on Wednesday on the 00z NSSL WRF. There is also a pre-frontal trough with discrete storms on the NAM 12 km and there has been for multiple runs in a row now.

 

[Bulkshear]

Major tornado outbreak with numerous supercells on Wednesday on the 00z NSSL WRF. There is also a pre-frontal trough with discrete storms on the NAM 12 km and there has been for multiple runs in a row now.

Where do you feel the largest threat will be based off what you have seen?

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Major tornado outbreak with numerous supercells on Wednesday on the 00z NSSL WRF. There is also a pre-frontal trough with discrete storms on the NAM 12 km and there has been for multiple runs in a row now.

could one show?

 

[Bulkshear]

The SPC will likely issue a Moderate Risk, but do you think they will goes as far as issuing a High Risk?

If they were to do so it won’t be until the day of due to small scale issues.

 

[andyhb]

All of these cells are in SRH of 400-500 m2/s2 or greater.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

The SPC will likely issue a Moderate Risk, but do you think they will goes as far as issuing a High Risk?

Easily goes to moderate

 

[Bulkshear]

View attachment 38081

All of these cells are in SRH of 400-500 m2/s2 or greater.

How do you feel about the rogue cells popping out in front in MS, AL, and TN?

 

[US_Highway15]

Easily goes to moderate

My mind was thinking of tomorrow, my bad.