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6.6 Earthquake near Searles, CA (1 Viewer)


bjdeming

Member
Messages
132
Location
Corvallis, Oregon
Almost 3,600 quakes since July 4, and counting.

Don't recall ever seeing a forecast from the USGS before, though probably I just missed them.

AFTERSHOCK FORECAST*
Be ready for more earthquakes.
CHANCE OF AN EARTHQUAKE*
in the next week until July 22, 2019.
M3+ is >99%
23–52 such earthquakes may occur re-invigorated by larger aftershock.
M5+ is 30%
0-3 such earthquakes may occur.
M6+ is 4%
Such an earthquake is possible, but with low probability.
M7+ is <1%
1 in 300 chance. Such an earthquake is possible, but with low probability.

* This forecast was issued: 2019-07-15 16:31:15 (UTC)
* This forecast will be updated on or before 2019-07-22 16:31:15 (UTC)

-- USGS
 

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