2026 Global Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[slenker]

Strange decision to maintain 130 knots for sure. Satellite presentation easily supported 160 knots at peak

 

[Atlantic]

Strange decision to maintain 130 knots for sure. Satellite presentation easily supported 160 knots at peak

The 00Z time was apparently overridden to 145 kts, so while they realized their mistake and updated it to a Category 5 STY, the intensity is still too low in my opinion

 

[SouthFLwx]

The 00Z time was apparently overridden to 145 kts, so while they realized their mistake and updated it to a Category 5 STY, the intensity is still too low in my opinion

They have a bad habit of doing this with high-end storms, really wish we had recon in the WPAC.

 

[Atlantic]

They have a bad habit of doing this with high-end storms, really wish we had recon in the WPAC.

I wish we had recon in the WPAC too, but unfortunately it ended in 1987, and obviously hasn’t started back up since.

 

[JPWX]

I wish we had recon in the WPAC too, but unfortunately it ended in 1987, and obviously hasn’t started back up since.

I have argued about this the last few years. I get satellites have been upgraded the last few years plus are better compared to years ago but they can only do so much with intensity. I mean obviously you couldn't fly into every single storm unless you had a designated fleet of unmanned drones each year. I have also argued that the pressure of 870mb from Tip has been broken multiple times since then. By Patricia, Haiyan, Goni. Just to name a few.

 

[Atlantic]

I have argued about this the last few years. I get satellites have been upgraded the last few years plus are better compared to years ago but they can only do so much with intensity. I mean obviously you couldn't fly into every single storm unless you had a designated fleet of unmanned drones each year. I have also argued that the pressure of 870mb from Tip has been broken multiple times since then. By Patricia, Haiyan, Goni. Just to name a few.

I could definitely say Patricia broke it given its peak was 872 mb, however with Haiyan, its pressure may be higher because of it low latitude plus the background pressure state.

Maybe Goni got that far, I’m not sure; but I would lean 50/50 on it

 

[SouthFLwx]

I could definitely say Patricia broke it given its peak was 872 mb, however with Haiyan, its pressure may be higher because of it low latitude plus the background pressure state.

Maybe Goni got that far, I’m not sure; but I would lean 50/50 on it

Goni was likely sub-890 mb. Not sure it went sub-880 tho.

 

[slenker]

I have argued about this the last few years. I get satellites have been upgraded the last few years plus are better compared to years ago but they can only do so much with intensity. I mean obviously you couldn't fly into every single storm unless you had a designated fleet of unmanned drones each year. I have also argued that the pressure of 870mb from Tip has been broken multiple times since then. By Patricia, Haiyan, Goni. Just to name a few.

I’d throw Surigae into the potential 870 mb breakers conversation as well.